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The surprises of the Budget 2012

Friday, September 30th, 2011

The draft budget law for 2012 includes some measures "secondary" to note.

400 million of property disposals

The state continues to rationalize its real estate. For example, some services will leave from the Department of Budget rentals in 2012 in Paris and moved to a new building owned by the state to Ivry-sur-Seine. The result: an economy of rent of 24 million euros. Once the move made, 55% of the central administration of the Ministries of Economy and Budget work beyond the device. Justice must, too, leave the premises rented accommodation near the Place Vendome for a building purchased in a less prestigious neighborhood. The Ministry refused last year to relocate some of its troops Porte de Bagnolet and tried to impose a more stylish place, Porte de Versailles. But the MPs had set a stop."We will carefully consider the new proposals of the ministry. They have a budget of 160 million they will in no case exceed, "said Yves Deniaud, UMP deputy and president of the Real Estate Council of State.

Besides Paris, the restructuring of administrations in the region (with the merger of directions) can reduce office space. The state has released 146 504 m2 in 2010 and 46 383 m2 in 2009. In addition, 561 semi-public structures (ranging from museums to Météo-France) are now asked to have a good property management.

As in 2011, the government hopes that it will report sales of buildings 400 million in 2012. "The aim should be held this year," said Yves Deniaud.

More funds for the Senate, at least for the Elysée

The endowment will be paid to the Senate of 327 free business cards.7 million in 2011 to 333,600,000 in 2012.This 1.8% increase, after years of freezing, is related to the creation of five additional seats in the Senate. The allocation granted to the National Assembly is her stable at 534 million. This reduces the Elysee (112.3 million in 2011, 111.7 million in 2012, with travel costs down), as well as the Constitutional Council.

"Small taxes" various

Municipalities with forestry in 2012 will pay a fee of 2 euros per hectare. What to bring 5.6 million to the National Forestry Office (ONF). The visa fee regulation for foreigners pass him, from 220 euros to 340 euros.

Special pension schemes

The grant from the State for such schemes – funds RATP and SNCF in mind – will reach 6.6 billion, against 6 billion this year.This grant is intended to balance the books despite the demographic ratio (number of contributors / number of retirees) worse than in the general scheme.

Medical Insurance

Voted in the fall, but censored for reasons of form, the device liability insurance risk specialists (obstetricians at the top) is reintroduced at the time of this budget, as promised by the executive. The idea is to cover losses of more than 8 million euros via a common to all health professions. This allows pooling of contributions limited (15 to 25 euros a year according to the Government).

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The Paris Bourse becomes nervous

Friday, September 16th, 2011

After a third round of chained up on Thursday, the CAC 40 is hesitant. In this Friday called "the four witches' mature futures in the U.S., which always increases volatility.

After opening up 1.21%, the benchmark index of the Paris Bourse is pressed into the red in the morning before showing a slight increase of 0.54% to 3062.14 points. Sign that markets are not completely reassured by the decision of the central bankers of the richest countries to mobilize to prevent the drying up of banks' liquidity in dollars. "There is no particular news. The market is perhaps a little profit after rising in recent days, "says Dov Adjedj, vendor shares at Aurel BGC.

In turn, other European financial centers are currently in the green: the Footsie-100 from the London Stock Exchange rose 0.84% ​​to 5382.27 points, the Dax in Frankfurt in 5570 to 1.14% , 82 points, but the Madrid Ibex-35 yields 0.17% at 8323.7 points while the FTSE Milan Mib rose 0.82% to 14,763.22 points.

Thursday night, the European Central Bank (ECB), the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan reopened their facilities dollar loans to European institutions to three months, at their request . The decision was hailed by leading international institutions including the IMF, through its President Christine Lagarde: "This is a clear indication from the two largest euro area members of a economic point of view that Future of Greece is truly in the euro area.This appears to be strongly rooted in them both, "she said Thursday, referring to the Franco-German tandem. The same applies to the ECB: "We're all very closely 'united in one purpose'," said Thursday Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the ECB.

A meeting of finance ministers in Poland

Still, brokers are concerned that this improvement was not part of the time. "The coordinated central bank takes the market on Friday," noted Toshiyuki Kanayama, broker at Monex, quoted by Dow Jones Newswires. But this does not solve the problem of the euro area should have a temporary effect. "And for him to echo, the Austrian Minister of Finance, Maria Fekter, has not ruled on Friday that a failure of Greece is a better alternative to a bailout too expensive."We should consider this alternative," she started.

Suddenly, all eyes have turned to Wroclaw in Poland, where there is a meeting of EU finance ministers on Greece. It should last two days and overcome the remaining obstacles to the implementation of the second aid plan in Athens decided July 21 to avoid a bankruptcy of the country. Note that Timothy Geithneir, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, will attend the round table. Two press conferences are scheduled this Friday at 24:00 and 17:30.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro bought 1.3798 dollars, down 0.61%. Similarly, oil prices down slightly popped, a barrel of "light sweet crude" earned 5 cents to 89.33 dollars."This liquidity will likely prevent the recession to hit the euro area, supporting crude oil prices," said Victoire Shum, an analyst at Purvin and Gertz in Singapore.

On the macroeconomic front, the euro area recorded an external trade surplus 4.3 billion euros in July against 4.7 billion a year earlier, according to first estimates released Friday by the EU statistics office Eurostat .

In France, business start-ups in France rebounded in August after two months of decline. A total of 41,697 companies were created last month, according to Insee, a figure up 7.5% from July, which was the worst month for a year and a half.

In Germany, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said today that German GDP growth would be "closer to 3% than 2.5%" this year.This statement comes as concerns about the impact of cooling of the global economy on the German economy, heavily dependent on exports, are more vivid.

United States, the net capital flows and the index of consumer confidence from the University of Michigan will be published early in the afternoon.

Values ​​to follow

Banking

After the decision by central banks to help European banks, the banks were moving in a disorganized mid-session: Societe Generale (2.40% to 18.77 euros), Credit Agricole (-0.05% to 5 , 52 euros) and BNP Paribas (-1.61% to 30.01 euros)

Air France-KLM (1.39% to 6.14 euros) and EADS (-0.88 to 22.06 euros)

The manufacturer will control 50 devices equally between European manufacturers Airbus and Boeing, for a total of $ 11.3 billion (8.1 billion euros) to ensure the renewal of its fleet, say Les Echos to be published Friday.

Hermes (-7.10% to 249.25 euros)

Resumption of trading on Friday for the title of the luxury group, which was suspended the day pending the decision of the Court of Appeal in Paris on speculation about the fate of its capital due to a possible takeover bid by LVMH.

Areva (-1.62% to 20.66 euros)

The group has suspended two months for the production of two French factories processing of uranium due to the decline in demand for nuclear power plants in Japan after the disaster in Fukushima, officials said Thursday from the French nuclear group.

EDF (3.34% to 21.33 euros)

Group and Electrical Delmi A2A and its majority shareholder, who jointly control Edison, announced the extension of their shareholder agreement until October 31 at number two in the Italian electricity.

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Nicolas Sarkozy praised his "toughness" against unemployment

Sunday, September 4th, 2011

It is in a climate much different than at the conference in support of Libya, the day that Nicolas Sarkozy was on Friday, his first visit in the province since September. He chose to address the issue of rising unemployment in the Vosges, where he is three points above the national average (9.1%), visiting the company KDGFrance specializing in the manufacture of DVD .

One way to illustrate the policy to support training through professional transition contracts. But the Elysée had also clearing the way for some 60 miles away, sending his agriculture adviser, Daniel Perrin, to listen to the grievances of the employees laid off soon a group Lactalis Cheese Company, which manufactures including cheese … President .While polls show an improvement, but in the context of attacks on returning the case Bettencourt, Nicolas Sarkozy wanted to place his action under the sign of toughness. "The important thing is persistence. It is a keyword. (…) We are not in Libya would not have happened without toughness … the same tenacity will be put on employment, competitiveness of France. You have to fight inch by inch and finally get results, "he said.

By repeating the word seven times, Nicolas Sarkozy coined the slogan of the day.He also managed to draw a parallel between the end of the Gaddafi regime, which fell when everyone was betting on the stalemate, and the "titanic battle for France again become a place of production."

Sarkozy has nevertheless recognized that unemployment figures for the last three months were "clearly not good, but how could they be in the context of global economic and financial crisis?". He preferred to put forward some encouraging statistics, such as increasing the number of jobs created (120,000 in the first six months of 2011) quick cash. As his Secretary of State for Tourism Frédéric Lefebvre, he also established a link between unemployment and the demographic vitality of the country."A workforce that is increasing every year 150,000 people (…) is good news because in thirty years, France will be larger than Germany (and) it's good for the financing of our system of retirement, "he was glad. But "before reducing to one the number of unemployed is to find 150,000 jobs for 150,000 new" entering the labor market, he said.

On the concrete cures, Nicolas Sarkozy has remained modest. He announced a boost of 20,000 additional assisted contracts for young people and more than 50 years. But in a crisis of sovereign debt, no way to release the tightening imposed on the state budget. For the first time, the head of state has defended the new plan unveiled last week by Francois Fillon, who has to save one billion euros in 2011 and 11 billion in 2012.However, he vigorously defended the inclusion of the golden rule in the Constitution. "My God, but where's the catch? Are those temporarily in charge of the direction of France can not undertake that the annual budget goes toward equilibrium? ".

He cited the example of bipartisan agreement that has just spoken in Spain, "the Socialists and the Spanish right love their country more than their party, and I hope for France that politicians love their country more than their parties and their personal interests, "commented the head of state to the attention of the opposition.

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Expected to increase conservative Wall Street this afternoon

Wednesday, August 31st, 2011

Shortly before the opening of the New York Stock Exchange, the index futures Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.91%, respectively, to 1215.80 points and 2246.25 points to 0.86%, leaving hope for a beginning of the session up. The Dow Jones was expected to share up 0.79% at 11,583 points.

U.S. investors, it seems, was reassured, once last night, by the tone of "minutes" of the last monetary policy committee of the Fed. This report has indeed confirmed that the U.S. central bank did not rule to use new tools of monetary easing to support growth ever more threatened. A perspective that also prompted the European markets to rebound on Wednesday morning, when he had closed the previous day on a mixed note.Also in the interests of peace, the United States, President Barack Obama said on Tuesday that the U.S. economy had a "heart attack" she was recovering at a slow pace as he prepares to unveil a new stimulus package.

Meanwhile, the volume still low despite the likely return of holidays for most investors, however, reflect a cautious market that continues. The current rebound, often excessive, thus remain fragile, the sudden relapse is, at every moment possible. And the meeting this Wednesday is evident, in this regard, not without risks.

The employment figures highly anticipated

Indeed, investors should react in particular the results of the ADP survey of employment in the private sector for the month of August, to be unveiled at 2:15 p.m. before, so the opening of Wall Street.The Chicago PMI index of industrial activity for the month of August, from 3:45 p.m., will also be closely monitored. Orders to industry for the month of July (1600) and the weekly oil inventories (16:30) conclude the list of publications of macroeconomic days.

On the corporate side, the American phone AT & T (1.23% on Tuesday in closing) pledged Wednesday to repatriate to the United States currently filled 5,000 jobs in its call centers overseas, where the green light to the acquisition challenged T-Mobile, the U.S. subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom.These employees will be "well paid", assured the group in a statement, recalling that he was the only major U.S. telecom operators to accept unions in its stores.

Bank of America (-3.21%) is preparing to further reduce its scope of activity in the mortgage, by stopping the sale of mortgage loans through independent agents, said Wednesday the Wall Street Journal, citing people close the file.

Hewlett-Packard (-0.26%) will temporarily restart production of its TouchPad Tablet, whose sales soared since the U.S. computer giant announced mid-August that he would cease to manufacture. HP announced on August 18 a sudden change in its strategy, through the cessation of production of its new tablet and its smartphones using the operating system of Palm webOS.HP also plans to separate its activities from production computers to refocus on software.

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Good results support Wall Street

Friday, July 15th, 2011

Wall Street opened up Friday, the good quarterly results published by Google and Citigroup offset concerns over the sovereign debt of both sides of the Atlantic. A few minutes after the opening, the Dow Jones gained 0.5% (62.28 points) to 12,499.40, the S & P 500 took 0.6% (7.87 points) to 1,316.74 and the Nasdaq Composite progressed from 0.97% (26.67 points) to 2789.34. Thursday, Wall Street has ended in the red.

The New York Stock Exchange, however, could be subject to significant headwinds on Friday, with one hand the threat of Standard and Poor's rating on the United States and comments from the Fed that has dampened hopes of new measures support the economy, and the other successful companies including Google, which announced Thursday after the close of figures well above expectations.

The issue of U.S. debt should again be a central concern of investors. The negotiations started on the subject by U.S. President Barack Obama with the Republican opposition are currently deadlocked, Republicans a majority in the House of Representatives refused to vote an increase in attacks and demanding that the deficit .

Finally, sovereign debt in the euro area will remain a central concern.No date has been officially given for the planned summit between European leaders to try to stop the contagion of the debt crisis, a blur that weighs more on investor sentiment.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro has stabilized against the dollar at 1.4140 dollars against 1.4141 dollars last night. The euro rose slightly, however, against the Japanese currency to 112.03 yen against 111.89 yen yesterday. On the commodities market in the current context of heightened uncertainty about the public debt in Europe and the United States, gold is looking for: the metal-King reached a new record yesterday to 1594.45 dollars. It flows back slightly this morning.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for August delivery traded at 96.46 dollars, up 77 cents from the previous day.

On the front indicators, the index of consumer prices declined 0.2% compared to May, seasonally adjusted data, while analysts expected a 0.1% decline, according to their median forecast . The activity of the manufacturing industry shrank in the New York area in June for the second consecutive month, according to the Empire State index released Friday by the central bank (Fed) remained negative at -3.8. Analysts predicted that this index, which had fallen sharply in the previous month to -7.8, ironed above zero, the boundary between growth and contraction.Industrial production is, it, in line with expectations, up 0.2% in June

Google the center of attention

The side of values, Google announced after the close having recorded an increase in earnings of about 36% in the second quarter of 2011, despite investments still rising in the world's leading Internet search. The title wins more than 11% to 591.05 dollars.

Citigroup (2.49% to $ 40) Friday reported a 22% increase in net profit in the second quarter to $ 3.3 billion (2.33 billion euros) against 2.7 billion a year earlier. The third U.S. bank by assets shows a profit of $ 1.09 per share against $ 0.90 a year earlier, while economists were expecting $ 0.96.

The day before, JPMorgan said it had done for the second quarter net income of $ 5.4 billion against 4.8 billion last year. Net banking income rose by 7% over the quarter and 6% in the first quarter to 27.4 billion. The title gives 0.42% to 40.20 dollars

Always on the side of values, Hyatt Hotels (0.13% to 39.32 dollars) has announced the acquisition of a series of 24 hotels and assets attached for about $ 802 million from LodgeWorks and a group of capital investors. The transaction should generate an increase in operating income for the group of about $ 50 million from 2012.

The Board of Directors of Ralcorp Holdings (-1.96% to 84.92 dollars) has unanimously approved the principle of a split between Post and Ralcorp Foods.In addition, the company said to expect an adjusted earnings per share from 1.13 to $ 1.18 in the third quarter.

Also note, the Advisory Committee of U.S. health authorities (FDA) for oncology pharmacy issued a recommendation unanimously in favor of an accelerated approval process for Adcetris, a drug from the laboratory to Seattle Genetics treat Hodgkin's lymphoma. The title gives up 11.21% to 18.05 dollars.

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The French trade deficit hits new record

Thursday, July 7th, 2011

On the international trade front, France patina. For the second time in two months, the trade deficit hit a bad record in May, -7.422 billion euros, according to figures released Thursday by the Customs. Year over year, he moved to -63.418 billion euros, against -51.558 billion in 2010.

The poor sales in May due in large part by higher energy bills in France, reflecting a rebound in imports of natural hydrocarbons. Imports, burdened by this trend, amounting to 41.601 billion euros in May, up 2.9% over three months. This figure was moderated by the slowdown of industrial imports.This, "due to lower aircraft and naval acquisitions and a decline in purchases of electronic equipment and pharmaceuticals, 'the customs.

At the same time, "industrial exports sag again," they note. Result, exports grew by only 0.9% over the last three months to reach 34.179 billion euros in May "The persistent decline in transport equipment (aircraft in May, car in April) weighs on the trend," within Customs.

"Aérodépendance"

Important position in sales abroad, but very volatile, aviation fell 6.2% over the month."We had one the last two months show some" aérodépendance "of France, aerospace accounts for more than 10% of French exports and any slowdown in performance has a very significant effect on the external accounts of country, "Analysis Alberto Balboni, an economist at Xerfi.

"The weakness also dominates," adds customs. To make matters worse, military exports shrink to 100 million euros. "Exports, unlike imports, have not regained their pre-crisis level (they are still below their values ​​of mid-2008), continues Alberto Balboni.More worryingly, France is among the major industrialized economies (excluding Japan), which recorded the lowest export growth after the trough of the crisis. "

Dynamism of Germany

Only exceptions to this gloomy picture, agricultural exports go, and auto sales. "Sales at their highest level since the crisis, particularly to improve the major partners of the European Union," according to customs.

France breaks the limits in general thanks to the dynamism of its European neighbors, including Belgium and especially Germany. Customs also stressed that "sales to Africa, however, are well oriented (automotive and aerospace, cereals, refined oil), like those in the Near and Middle East (aircraft)".In contrast, Asian economies, exports that had supported earlier this year, marking time.

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Cyber ​​attacks: an exorbitant cost

Saturday, July 2nd, 2011

The numbers are staggering. In Germany, the financial damage caused by cyber crime amounted to 61.5 million euros in 2010, according to figures released Thursday by the criminal police and the Federation of high tech Bitkom. This is equivalent to an increase of 66% over the previous year. As the United States, the FBI estimated the cost of crime to some digital $ 560 million in 2009. A world-wide, according to McAfee, cyber crime would have generated some 1000 billion in 2008, about 1.64% of world GDP for that year. Remains that, without minimizing the scale of the scourge, these figures are perplexing.

Many experts give little credence to these studies because most of them emanate from computer security specialists. For the record, other than McAfee is the world number two antivirus software.In addition, "less than 10% of companies report having experienced cyber attacks," said Jean-Paul Pinte, senior lecturer in strategic intelligence at the Catholic University of Lille. According to the specialist risk management and cyber terrorists of enterprises affected societies fear the bad publicity due to media coverage of cyber attacks.

Jean-Paul Pinte, "we know nothing of the legacy and financial losses suffered indirectly." He added: "If an attack is to relieve a company of sensitive information, loss of data will generate multiple costs, such as loss of competitiveness, or the upgrading of security."

"Hard to get a comprehensive view"

Director of the National Security Information Systems (Anssi), Patrick Pailloux abounds in this direction."When a site is the victim of an attack, he takes as an example, it is first blocked, causing a shortfall. Then we must add additional costs to set up a hotline strengthened. "And on the practices of industrial espionage initiated via the Internet," How can we measure in terms of losses that a competitor could steal ?, "asks the director of Anssi. Clearly, "it is difficult to get a comprehensive view of the problem," says he.

Despite these criticisms, these figures are held up to each event on Cybercrime. However dated, the estimated one trillion dollars of McAfee is authoritative. Last May, it appeared even in the "reminder" of the fourth Parliamentary Forum on Information Society in Geneva, on the initiative, among others, the United Nations.Trompe-l'oeil, the text quoted a source stamped Europol, the pharmacy police intergovernmental European Union, which actually refers to the numbers … the software publisher.

If governments do not hesitate to chopping these impressive figures, it is often necessary to legitimize, but costly reinforcement of their agencies against digital piracy. Or clear, make the pill easier to swallow from taxpayers. In January, the UK has estimated that cyber attacks cost him a whopping 27 billion pounds per year (32.2 billion euros) in a government study.An amount (by far) greater than the harm claimed by the United States … A few days before making public figure, London has announced the release of 650 million pounds over four years to "strengthen its cyber security " freecreditscore…

International cooperation in the war-horse

Without waving the national figures, France is no exception, as evidenced by the announcement of piracy Bercy in March. Patrick Pailloux it was for the state to "lead by example" to encourage companies to report piracy they wipe. The Director of Anssi said that 150 computers were then infiltrated by hackers to steal documents for the French presidency of the G20. "We were able to counter the threat," he goes on, noting that thirty experts have been mobilized for two months to "clean up" more than 130,000 positions in the Department.A communication that is timely, since Anssi plans to double its workforce (360 employees) by 2013.

Such methods may be distasteful, but experts and politicians agree: there is no time to waste on the face of digital crime. "For a long time in France, we thought that hacking and computer intrusions were not really dangerous, says Jean-Paul Pinte. But now we know that it's become a real business, and that the threat can come from anywhere: a simple USB key, hard drives or even photocopiers, which, connected to the Internet can become the target of hackers ".

Therefore, international cooperation, which requires significant resources, is "a priority," insists Patrick Pailloux. And for good reason: "90% of attacks are international," says the director of Anssi.In the columns of The Tribune, Laurent Wauquiez, Minister for European Affairs, recently recalled that a hacker "can be installed in Latvia, while in France to intervene through a Canadian site." He even considers urgent that Europe adopts "a kind of cyber-FBI-backed Europol" to stem the digital crime. And one last statistic to shoot, ensuring that "a user of thirty lost money in Europe over the last year" due to a hacker.

Businesses, prey selection

Having surveyed 45 U.S. companies in 2010, the Ponemon Institute found that on average, the financial damage caused by hackers and data theft was $ 3.8 million.Like that of McAfee, this figure is to be taken lightly, as though Ponemon shows his independence, his study was commissioned by ArcSight, a specialist in digital security. However, it appears that large groups are increasingly being targeted by hackers. Since the beginning of the year, the list of companies or institutions that have suffered cyberattacks has continued to grow. Sony has suffered more than ten attacks since mid-April, leading to theft of confidential data of more than 1 million customer accounts. Recently, Sega has had the same misfortune: the editor of the series of Sonic hedgehog found in mid-June have been stolen names, email addresses, birth dates and passwords of almost 1.3 million customers on its servers.Google or Citigroup also suffered cyber attacks.

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The CAC 40 is expected to stabilize

Tuesday, May 24th, 2011

On this day 50 years in the OECD, the Paris Bourse should behave a little better. The Cac 40, which has suffered heavy losses on Monday, weighed down by bad signs including the Italian debt, and could resume his spirits a bit, like the Asian stock markets on Tuesday morning, which had fallen the night before. Last night on Wall Street, U.S. indexes also ended in deep red.

It will also monitor the evolution of the Milan Stock Exchange, which lost more than 3% the day before because of the prospect of lowering the debt rating of Italy by Standard and Poor's. But the rating agency has reassured last night assuring that the country would not need help. The government has prepared an austerity plan of 40 billion euros.

On Tuesday, the Brussels Stock Exchange is likely to be heckled while Fitch has placed the country's debt on negative watch.

To this day wait at the front of economic data likely to move the trend in France, the monthly business survey in industry, in construction, in retail trade and repair services for automobiles and May fall to 8.45. Even now, the business climate and economic downturn, still on May, are known. In Germany, Destatis publish the detailed GDP in the first quarter (8:00) and Ifo important barometer of the morale of the financial community will be unveiled at 11 am. In the EU, we will connsaissance new orders in industry in March (11:00).While the United States, 16 hours, we will note the new home sales in April (16 hours) payday loans direct lenders.

Bickering between Carrefour and Casino

Side values, expected interim results from Compagnie des Alpes.

Casino boss, Jean-Charles Naouri, did not appreciate the discussions for a merger between Carrefour and the leader of the Brazilian supermarkets, CBD.

Moreover, S & P is considering lowering the rating of Dexia because of its exposure to Greece.

Vallourec has announced the acquisition of Zamil Pipes, the leading processing and finishing of seamless tubes for oil and gas industry in Saudi Arabia for 96 million euros.

EDF and Enel are among the groups under discussion with Russia's Rosatom to participate in its proposed nuclear plant in Kaliningrad, Russia.

CVC Capital Partners has reached an agreement to repurchase shares in the family holding Delachaux offered for sale at a price of 83 euros per share.

Areva has announced the acquisition of 30% stake in its Brazilian subsidiary Areva Koblitz it did not already own.

BigBen Interactive has filed a proposed acquisition of Modelabs that values ​​the maker of mobile phones tailored and specialist distributor of telecom products between 90 and 100 million euros, announced Monday the Financial Markets Authority (AMF). The group will publish its annual résutlats Tuesday.

Note Iliad, Arkema, EDF, Société générale Gecina and hold their general meeting today.

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In Spain, the "lost generation" remains committed

Sunday, May 22nd, 2011

The economic austerity, mass unemployment and the impending local elections have, since last Sunday, the emergence of a broad popular movement among the youth of Spain this week. Los indignados ", ie Indignant, as they call themselves, occupied since last Sunday instead Madrid Puerta del Sol.

Now "illegal", the electoral truce in effect banned the demonstrations, but determined to hear their ras-le-bol of the crisis and unemployment, hundreds of youths were mobilized Saturday in the camp alternative to the Puerta del Sol in Madrid .Shouting "we are now illegal," an immense crowd welcomed Friday at midnight on the start of the truce, after, at the stroke of the clock, symbolically launched a "silent scream" of scotch tape on the mouth, arms raised to heaven.

"Apolitical" and "citizen"

Saturday morning, a thousand protesters still occupying the "village" of tents and plastic sheeting instead of blue madrilène.L agency Efe, based on counting a specialist company, puts the figure of 19,000 protesters Friday night to the Puerta del Sol and surrounding streets, crowded. Other media put the number at 25,000 to 60,000 in Madrid and throughout Spain. The movement has indeed spread throughout Spain under the slogan "Toma la plaza" (Takes place). It is present in 57 cities.The youth movement, building on its growing popularity, plays on the ambiguity of the law and the embarrassment of the government, repeating that he is "apolitical," "citizen" and that the days of Saturday and Sunday will be devoted to the pursuit of "reflection" collective. "We act in full respect of the truce election meetings will be held but no action will be decided," Lopez said Saturday, a spokesman.

"We do not want to overthrow the politicians, just to restore the level of concern of the street, told El Pais Gandara, a spokesman of the movement. "We are not anarchists, nor opponents of the system. We are just normal people "who want a form of participatory democracy.

This spontaneous mobilization, also called the May 15 Movement, was organized as the Arab revolt, via online social networks Twitter and Facebook and on the principle of "right to be indignant." Wednesday, El Pais had counted 10,000 participants in Madrid. The watchwords: the stranglehold of the major parties on Spanish politics, social injustice and the "corrupt politicians". In the background, an unemployment rate of 21.19%, the highest in the euro area, which affects almost half the age of 25.

Police Discrete

"I have great respect for those who demonstrate, they do so peacefully, and I understand that this is due to the economic crisis, in their desire to find a job," said on Friday the first Outgoing Minister Zapatero socialist on the radio Cadena Ser.

The police presence, despite a ban on protests, remained quiet throughout the evening, limited to a few police cars parked around the square. The government, embarrassed by this spontaneous movement occurred a week of regional and local elections on Sunday ahead disastrous for the Socialists, had said on Friday to show "understanding."The Interior Minister Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, had suggested that police action could be avoided provided that no overflow takes place.

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Real Estate: INSEE rejects the idea of ​​a bubble

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

Soaring property prices in France in recent years seems more related to lack of supply that financial speculation, unlike the situation in Anglo-Saxon or Spain, said Tuesday the Chief INSEE, Jean-Philippe Cotis. This view of the National Institute of Statistics contrasts with the Center for Strategic Analysis, an agency attached to the Prime Minister, which evoked a few days ago the creation of a "bubble" of real estate in France likely to deflate with adverse effects.

According to a new study released Tuesday by the INSEE, house prices in France have increased by 141% over the period 1998-2010, more than three times faster than income (+43%). Meanwhile, rents, which are framed, up 33%, averaging 2.4% annually, a rate higher than inflation.

No excessive investment

The curve of property prices in France until 2007 has been a path quite similar to that of the United States. But the two markets have not experienced the crisis in the same way: while the price of old fell rapidly in the U.S. market from 2009 to regain a level near that of the early 2000s, the correction in France been limited (-7% in 2009) and prices are starting to rebound quickly (+6.3% in 2010), as the volume of transactions, almost returned to its pre-crisis. However, the price level in France does not necessarily mean a "financial imbalances," said Jean-Philippe Cotis at a news conference. "In France we do not see a surge of investment, excessive investment in real estate that would have justified a lurch as the one we saw in the Anglo-Saxon or Spain," Has he said.

"It is more towards the real economy and the scarcity of the physical side of financial complications," he added. According to the latest figures from the Federation of developers (REIT), housing dwelling sales in France fell by 11% in the first quarter versus the same period last year. Stressing the role played by the shortage of housing supply, Jean-Philippe Cotis raised the level "relatively modest" investment in construction no teletrack payday loans. "The situation in France and the United Kingdom seems to reflect scarcity rents physics," he said, noting that low interest rates they had different effects in the United States and Spain "where the speculative dimension was clearly established. "

Housing weigh more on the budget

Due to an explosion in property prices that rose faster than incomes, the French spend, according to Insee, share more and more of their budget on housing. Rent or monthly repayments of borrowings, accrued expenses, but also collective individual energy and water strain their finances, including those of less affluent households. Thus, 3.8 million households (14% of total) are found living in "fuel poverty" because they spend more than 10% of their income to pay their energy bills for heating and lighting, to A study entitled "to have or spend too cold to warm" conducted in 2008.

30% of French must repay a mortgage.In seven out of ten cases, the mortgage debt used to purchase a principal residence or other property or land. In other cases, it is used to finance renovations. The grant depends on the creditworthiness of the applicant, the proportion of households with a mortgage is therefore with the level of revenu.Le amount of repayments of loans related to housing is only an average of 745 euros per month 2008, according to results of another study on "the debt and the use of banking services."The burden of repayment of loans averaged 21% of disposable income.

If the weight of bills related to a mortgage is on average three times higher than that of a monthly consumer credit (259 euros on average), the latter result, however, more often unpaid and the filing of a record of indebtedness.

(With agencies)

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The study on the site of INSEE

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