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Fillon is launching a comprehensive plan "anti-deficit" for France

Thursday, August 25th, 2011

"A strict policy to allow France to remain sovereign in the economic and social development." François Fillon Thus he justifies the battery of measures, presented Wednesday to prevent any slippage in the deficit in late 2011 and 2012. In the context of extreme nervousness of the markets and growing concern about the European debts, the government has a goal of "intangible" reduce the public deficit of France 5.7% of GDP this year to 4.6% in 2012 (4.5%, in fact, said the Prime Minister to keep a "margin").

This will be increased by one major plan: one billion euros in savings and additional revenue this year and 11 billion next year. An effort necessitated by the weakening of activity.The government now expects GDP growth of 1.75% in 2011 as in 2012, against 2% and 2.25% previously announced.

"We are careful to take steps that do not break the growth – from mainly by reductions in or cancellations of special tax treatment ineffective," argued Fillon. While expressing focused on building "social justice", promising to seek "more large companies and SMEs and more affluent households than modest."On closer inspection, it is the holders of wealth that will be most put to the range of measures, including tax on incomes above 500,000 euros, higher taxes on savings and real estate gains, movement of the plane 10% tax loopholes, increasing tobacco prices, lower exemptions from payroll taxes on overtime …

François Fillon has compiled a list of these decisions at a press conference at Matignon, before working at JT TF1. It was really his day! A day that Nicolas Sarkozy has sought not to ruin, leaving his Prime Minister to take the show on the subject that is dear to him: the public finances.Wednesday morning at the Elysee, where stood the Council of Ministers of return, Sarkozy has revealed no information about the extent and content of the savings plan, helping to leave the premiere of his first ads Minister, and thanked them for staying mobilized during the summer and especially during the height of the bear market paydayloan.

But however long the president returned to the causes of the crisis, which he presented to the government team as the result of displacement of the center of gravity of the economies of developed countries to emerging countries. "It is not a crisis of the euro, he said. It is a debt crisis. "A crisis that requires extra effort. At eight months of the presidential election, Sarkozy seems unwilling to let the idea settle the plan "anti-deficit" would actually be an austerity plan that does not say his name."We're not in an austerity policy. Rigor is when you drop the pensions of retirees, which reduces the salaries of civil servants and that we proceed with a general increase in taxes, "he argued. "It's not rigor. Make no mistake! ", He added to the government.

Some participants saw this as a caution vis-à-vis those on the right, let themselves go these days to use the word taboo. In the first line, the secretary general of the UMP, Jean-Francois Cope, who, in Les Echos on Tuesday, had assumed this term without qualms. "Do not waste time with words," had also added the deputy mayor of Meaux.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who used to repeat that "it is useless to kill the sick healed," remains sealed to the word "rigor".He wants, in the words of a minister, "provide for the future, find the ridge that would allow France to reduce its deficits without blocking the growth." He also wants to convince public opinion that France must include in its Constitution the "golden rule" to return to balance public accounts. "This rule is neither right nor left," François Fillon reiterated Wednesday.

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The Cac 40 continues to rise

Tuesday, August 23rd, 2011

Sign that the markets are still very feverish, gold crossed for the first time in its history the bar in 1900 dollars an ounce to more than 1914 dollars exactly. However, according to analyst estimates, the Cac 40 continues to rise, after gaining 1.14% to 3051.36 points on Monday. The stock index climbed 1.22% to 3088.75 points.

Of the other major European stock markets, the FTSE-100 from the London Stock Exchange gained 1.02% to 5147.27 points and the Dax-30 from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange is 1.01% to 5529.26 points. Wall Street closed Monday evening while a cautious rebound Asian stock markets advance slowly.

While awaiting the president's speech to the U.S. central bank, Ben Bernanke, Friday, and the publication of the second estimate of U.S. GDP in the second quarter, the same day, the markets are mindful of the situation in Libya where the prospect a regime change seems inevitable with the fall of Colonel Gaddafi after 42 years of reign.

Oil prices retreat slightly

As a result, oil prices were cautious on Tuesday morning. In morning trading, a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery fell by 2 cents to 108.34 dollars, after losing 18 cents in early trade.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 27 cents 84.69 dollars.

On the macroeconomic front, the growth in activity in France has re-accelerated slightly in August, but three months to offset the sharp slowdown that has just experienced. The manufacturing PMI rose to 53.6 points against 53.2 in July.

In the U.S., sales of new homes in July were attendures to 16 hours.

On the corporate side, while the regime of Colonel Gaddafi is expected to end, the energy and oil are in the form: Total climbed 2.31% to 33.46 euros, GDF Suez is 1.66% to 20.50 euros EDF wins and 1.13% to 20.94 euros.

Carrefour: 1.69% to 18.95 euros

Carrefour announced Monday the appointment of Thierry Garnier, currently executive director of distribution group for growth markets, the Executive Director for China and Taiwan, replacing Eric Legros.

Sanofi: 1.72% to 49.97 euros

Aventis Pharma, Indian subsidiary of Sanofi, is close to buying activities without prescription Universal Medicare, an unlisted Indian pharmaceutical company to 75.8 million euros, said on Tuesday two sources close to the situation.

Societe Generale: 1.26% to 21.33 euros

Societe Generale has asked the bank Rothschild to set up a liquidity contract with a budget of 170 million euros to support its action, which has lost more than 40% of its value in a month.

Tour operators rely on "all-inclusive"

Friday, August 19th, 2011

Buffets and unlimited sports, entertainment for adults, kids club for children … A holiday in the card, no surprises. Everything is organized and paid for before reaching the full support from the airport.

In times of crisis more than ever, all inclusive, hallmark of Club Med, like and secure. Most tour operators would be more or less inspired to develop offers "house" all inclusive stays in hotels with different price points.

"The" all inclusive "is part of the DNA of Club Med. It is the heart of our product, said Anne Yannic, executive director of markets France, Belgium and Switzerland at Club Med. In a difficult economic environment, it is a reassuring promise. The formula has developed significantly since the financial crisis of 2008.All tour operators now offer all-inclusive club package. But the positioning high-end all-inclusive Club Med is unique. No one offers such a quality of service, except perhaps a few luxury hotels, but offer user-friendly that is also a hallmark of the Club. "

According to Patrice Caradec, CEO of Transat France (Look Voyages), the number of hotels clubs offered for French customers from 200 to 400 in five years. "Ten years ago, when ten French went in with a beach holiday tour operator, five opted for a formula club hotel, all inclusive, he says. Today is September Eventually, we will not sell more than that! "

Look Voyages already carries 75% of its sales in its 34 clubs Lookéa. These clubs are independent hotels from 150 to 200 rooms.Look Voyages ensures the filling of 80%, by signing contracts with their owners at least three years. Its own teams (10 to 20 people per club) make the animation.

Higher margins for tour operators

"With the Internet, which causes them to spend more and more tour operator, the formula is the most relevant, offering the best quality / price ratio, ensures Laurent Laforest, director of marketing for Look Voyages online cash advance. Club Med, which was once the preserve of the product club (animations, user-friendly, sports, child care), was copied by tour operators and hoteliers themselves. But the concept of club is not regulated, you can find everything and anything.The challenge is how to make its mark as a guarantee. "

This summer, for example, Thomas Cook France sells 72 hotels clubs (27 clubs Eldorador, the brand more upscale, 15 Villages Thomas Cook, 20 Aquatour clubs for customers in northern France, 10 Jumbo clubs, positioned entry ). "In deciding to go on the high end, Club Med has left a very important market segment. We have a lot of customers who come to us because Club Med has become too expensive for them, says Denis Wathier, Chairman of Thomas Cook France. The goal is a hundred clubs in two years. With the emergence of the Internet, tour operators must have something unique to offer. "

Another advantage is that the profitability of the formula."From the moment you sell a concept where you put the value added (animations, buffets, a specific decoration …) you can afford to sell the service more expensive, with higher margins," Wathier says Denis.

According to Laurent Laforest, clubs attract mainly couples (70% of customers) and families with children. "In a travel market in crisis, it is the segment that is resistant to the best tailor-made high-end", says he. "The demand increases and supply the following at the expense of traditional hotels, which are easily found on the Internet without going through tour operators," said Denis Wathier.

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Wall Street should remain on guard

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

The session promises to be volatile on Wall Street on Wednesday, a day after closing in the red. In just over two hours of opening, the futures contract on the Dow is at equilibrium (0.02% at 11,389 points), as did the S & P 500 (0.03% to 1192 points). One on the Nasdaq was down 0.20% to 2195 points.

The markets seem to be torn between the desire to focus on quarterly results released last night or expected, and the wrong signals sent by the European and Asian markets. They are disappointed with the proposals of President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The two leaders, who gathered to discuss the governance of the euro area, have not provided a response to the concerns of investors about the debt crisis in the euro area.Of course, a battery of measures was announced: economic government of the euro area, "golden rule" budget, tax on financial transactions, fiscal convergence. But Germany and France have ruled out a strengthening of the European emergency fund (EFSF) and the creation of Eurobonds, measures eagerly awaited by the markets.

"The concerns of investors are unlikely to dissipate anytime soon and could increase the pressure against the European leaders' strategists warn of Crédit Agricole CIB. "We are concerned that investors not only in the short term this framework must also be approved by all other countries and which offers no short-term response to the problems that worry the markets," added the manager of Barclays scholarship.

Oil up

In this context, operators will try to focus on indicators of the day.Before the opening, the Labor Department will release the index of producer prices. Weekly oil inventories will follow. Investors expect a decline in reserves, which pushed the futures contract on a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in September rose 1.19% to 87.68 dollars.

Note the side of the currency, the attempt to rebound in the euro against the dollar. After being battered in the Asian trade, the single European currency recovers. Around 11:30 in Paris, the euro bought 1.4450 dollars against 1.4406 dollars late Tuesday.

The values ​​of the day

News companies are also responsible for:

The Dell IT group has published Tuesday profit up 63% in the second quarter to $ 890 million, or earnings per share of 54 cents higher than expected. But the group has revised its annual sales targets downward.

Analog Devices reported last night for its third fiscal quarter, net earnings rose to 219.9 million dollars. But the group has disappointed analysts by saying that he expected an exaggerated caution of customers in a context of growing global economic uncertainty.

Abercrombie must report before the market opens its second quarter results. Ls forecasts indicate a profit of 29 cents per share and a turnover of 916.8 million dollars.

Deere also has pre-market release the results of its third fiscal quarter. The benefit should be 1.66% per share, according to economists.

Staples will announce its second quarter results, as Hot Topic, Limited Brands and Petsmart.

The banking sector battered yesterday after the European project for the taxation of financial transactions, will also be monitored.

Innovations in series to the radius Breakfast

Wednesday, August 17th, 2011

Activia has recently launched a variant of its yogurts, to be paid in grain payday loan lenders. (Photo credits: DR)

Merkel faces a sharp political debate in Germany

Monday, August 15th, 2011

The trip to Paris to sign Merkel kicks off the season policy of German Chancellor. And it is not the easiest, as the European issue is sensitive across the Rhine. As often, the perception of this meeting the Franco-German differs somewhat between the two capitals. In the entourage of the Chancellor, there is little appreciated that this mini-summit is presented as a response to recent market fluctuations, while the appointment was set in Paris for many years.

On the merits, Germany continues to advocate for the export of its business model to other European countries and calls for reforms to improve competitiveness. For the rest, particularly with regard to assistance to States in need, remains intransigent. The President of the Bundestag has also warned that the plan of aid to Greece would not be adopted in September as planned.Contrary to what the Chancellor promised its European partners.

For the subject "is so important that the Bundestag can not examine it in a few days with the necessary attention. And the Bundestag itself decides how much time he needs, "hammered Norbert Lammert (CDU). This reference indefinitely slingshot echoes the deputies of the majority, offended to be confined to the role of registration of the major decisions on the euro area. Between 25 and 40 of them could not vote for it, according to estimates. Not enough to prevent its adoption as the Greens and Social Democrats (SPD) have already announced they would vote for. However, the balance of the majority is at stake if the number of defections on the right is important payday loan.And the chances of the Chancellor to come to his estate in 2013 will be weakened.

"Treasurers of Europe"

Always keen to show his concern for good management of public funds, the finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, dismisses the idea of ​​European bonds, "as the Member States to practice their own fiscal policy." The word remains taboo eurobonds in the ranks of allies of government, CSU and FDP, "the devil's work" as one commentator has called ironically the Spiegel. Spokesman for the financial matters of the CDU-CSU, Klaus-Peter Flossbach, "Europe does not need to eurobonds but strong budgets. And budgets are achieved with strong economies, not with Eurobonds. "

"Are we becoming the treasurers of Europe?" Questioned this weekend the newspaper Bild.The liberal party (FDP) is threatening to break the coalition agreement if it came to the idea of ​​Christian Democrats to take this direction. Because the option of Eurobonds would be well on his way within the Conservative party if we believe Die Welt.

Angela Merkel, always cautious and pragmatic, the idea is not yet ripe. While the latest polls give the Germans more Euro-optimistic: 2 out of 3 respondents believe that the currency will still exist in 10 years and 53% believe that the euro crisis is not going to get worse in a year .

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Wall Street ended the session on a clear upward

Friday, August 12th, 2011

As in Europe, Wall Street rebounded sharply on Thursday after a session that saw the Dow Jones plunged by 4.6%. After opening up 1.25% at 10,854 points, the Dow Jones increased its earnings in mid-day. It ends with a sharp increase from 3.95% to 11,143.31 points. Nasdaq rises from 4.69% to 2492.68 points and the S & P 500 climbed 4.63% to 1172.64 points.

After being attacked the night before, banks rebound and take the rating up: Bank of America takes up 6.50% to 7.21 dollars, JPMorgan Chase 6.49% to 36.60 dollars, Citigroup 6% to 30, 20 dollars and Wells Fargo 5.94% to 24.24 dollars.

The energy sector, also roughed up yesterday, today contributes significantly to higher indices, like the ExxonMobil oil (5% to 71.43 dollars). This increase is in the wake of oil prices that ended up on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex).A barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery finished at 85.72 dollars (2.83 dollars the previous day).

Good news on employment front

The Dow Jones has further accelerated its rebound at the start of the last hour of trade, in a speech by U.S. President Barack Obama to ensure that there was always the possibility of taking measures to "help accelerate growth and job creation. "Investors also had a renewed confidence in the announcement of a meeting between French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Tuesday in Paris to discuss the reform of the governance of the euro area.

Also on the macroeconomic front, some good news also reassuring: the weekly jobless claims declined in the United States during the week to August 6 at 395,000 against 402,000 (revised) the previous week, said Thursday the Labor Department. Economists on average had expected 400,000 jobless.

On the front of the U.S. housing: the number of dwellings within the scope of foreclosures fell in July to a low of four months in the United States, according to a study released Thursday.Loan defaults, seizures and sales of bank foreclosures have affected 212,764 properties in July, a low not seen since November 2007, according to the firm RealtyTrac.

Note however that the country's trade deficit widened further in June according to figures released Thursday by the Commerce Department, reaching its highest level since October 2008 as a result of a sharp decline in exports.On a seasonally adjusted, the deficit reached 53.1 billion dollars against 50.8 billion (revised) the previous month, while U.S. exports fell by more than 2% over the month.

Cisco did better than expected

On the corporate side, the telecoms and IT supplier in the U.S. Cisco (15.95% to 15.92 dollars) on Wednesday issued an annual net profit down 16.4% to $ 6.5 billion, and a profit in the fourth quarter, down 36.3% to $ 1.2 billion. However, both figures higher than expected.

The media group News Corporation (18.09% to 16.19 dollars) to Rupert Murdoch, shaken by the recent wiretapping scandal in Britain, tried to reassure on Wednesday, its investors by issuing a profit annual increase."Although this was a good quarter of a financial point of view, our group has faced in recent weeks to problems with our London tabloid News of the World", accused of having carried on tapping some 4,000 people in the 2000s, said the group's CEO, Rupert Murdoch, in a statement.

In addition, Google (2.39% to 562.13 dollars) is followed. The investigation by U.S. authorities in charge of Competition (FTC) about a possible abuse of dominant position of Google, announced in June, focuses on the Android operating system and the search engine, we learned on Thursday in the Wall Street Journal.

No major publication is expected this weekend. It will take into effect until next Tuesday for Home Depot, Walmart and Dell publish their interim results.In the meantime, Monday, August 15, Estée Lauder will unveil its third-quarter figures.

Between Kraft cheese biscuits and sweets

Friday, August 5th, 2011

Kraft, the world of food, getting ready for a new metamorphosis. Four years after its separation from the cigarette company Philip Morris and the acquisition of LU (Danone), eighteen months after the takeover bid for Cadbury, CEO Irene Rosenfeld said Thursday the next split in the group. "The board wants to create two independent publicly traded companies: snacks, global, high growth, and a grocery business in North America to high margins," said Kraft, which is given by at the end of 2012 to achieve this.The group indicates neither the names of these entities, nor the identity of their future leaders.

The grocery store ($ 16 billion in sales) will bring together historic brands: Philadelphia cheese, Maxwell House coffee, Jell-O blanks, the Oscar Mayer wieners, sauces Miracle Whip … The other company will bring together the chocolate brands (Milka, Cadbury), cookies (Oreo, LU), chewing gum (Trident, Hollywood) … The snacks, 42% of sales come from emerging markets, makes 32 billion dollars in sales.

Two distinct logical purchase

These two activities "now differ in their strategic priorities, their growth patterns and their operational focus," said Irene Rosenfeld, who took over the group in 2006 cash advance flexible payments. They also respond to two distinct logics of purchase: for impulse buying chocolate and cookies, traditional races in the fresh to the grocery store.

In recent years, snacking activity had become the main growth driver for Kraft, who had separated from his cereal brands (Post) and frozen pizzas (DiGiorno). "Several activities were more consistent with the new face of Kraft, including dairy products, says Ildiko Szalai, an analyst at Euromonitor. The group's growth was also hampered by its activities in North America, a very mature market, strongly impacted by the recession. This does not mean that it is a step prior to the sale of this business. "By strengthening the visibility of snacks, Kraft also hopes to gain credibility with investors. Even the most critical among its shareholders, the businessman Warren Buffett, welcomed the split.

Debt: U.S. lawmakers have reached agreement

Sunday, July 31st, 2011

The world can breathe a little. After long weeks of negotiations, Republicans and Democrats have finally reached an agreement to raise the ceiling of U.S. debt, according to U.S. television, ABC News, citing unnamed sources in Congress. The debt ceiling would be raised until the elections of 2012. The plan includes spending cuts of over 1 trillion dollars over ten years and the establishment of a new panel of members of Cingrès, which will provide recommendations on additional measures to reduce the deficit of more than 1000 billion dollars.

As stated on ABC's website, this agreement is only "temporary" and must still be approved by Congress. If the information was confirmed by Washington, would mean that the U.S. can continue to borrow on financial markets.Good news for Barack Obama in less than a year of presidential elections. After a long back against the long struggle between Republicans and Democrats, the White House had decided Saturday to get involved again in the negotiations. Return ardently desired by the Republicans who seems to have paid off.

As a result, optimism had returned to the side of Parliament. The head of the Democratic majority in the U.S. Senate, Harry Reid, who previously showed pessimistic, recognized the progress in negotiations with the White House. "Negotiations are taking place in the White House to avoid a catastrophic failure to pay the national debt," Reid said late Saturday.Same story on the Republican side: "I think we have a chance to do," said Mitch McConnell Saturday, head of the Republican in the Senate.

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Veolia will not achieve its annual targets

Friday, July 29th, 2011

Veolia Environnement title should suffer this morning at the opening of the Paris Bourse. In full-season publications, investors thought instead to have their eyes on the accounts of the CAC 40 large, but the specialist environmental services announced this morning in a statement it would not hold its 2011 goal of growth in net profit, due to provisions and write-downs that he will in its half year (ended June 30, 2011) to about 800 million euros.An unexpected result of avertisssement should not help support the Paris Stock Exchange, expected back in the red this morning.

Engaged in a process of "refocusing its operations," Veolia has in fact has indeed increased the sales and partnerships since the beginning of the year, more than 1 billion euros of capital gains generated over 400 million under discontinued operations. However, the group of Antoine Frérot wants to go further, and believes that in Southern Europe, North Africa and the United States "based on the latest developments in operations", Veolia Environnement decided to launch new restructuring actions, redeployment and adjustment of activities in scope.

Confirmation of organic growth target

Hence the revised forecast recorded in the accounts payday advance lenders.Beyond the revision of the forecasts on net income, management expects an adjusted operating income excluding Veolia / Transdev (transport sector) "slightly lower at constant exchange rates" over one year against a growth of 4 to 8% previously announced. The only consolation, however, should not that bring smiles to the market, "the goals of organic growth, cost reduction of 250 million euros on sales of 1.3 billion euros and free cash flow positive after dividend payments are confirmed, "says Veolia.

No details yet on the new estimated net income, but Veolia, which will detail its half-year Thursday, August 4, should be a strong values ​​followed this Friday and next week. "Veolia Environnement August 4 detail the steps to refocus and improve profitability decided" also stipulates the release.Note that these results for the first six months of the year should also reflect the impact of lower volumes of waste treated during the crisis.

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