Archive for the ‘opinions’ Category

Saturday, November 12th, 2011

At a silver lining. The great blunder of the rating agency S & P issued Thursday to its subscribers in error message suggesting that the note of France was degraded allowed to know the exact impact would have been the suppression agencies rating of the famous "AAA" from France. This information has been totally denied by the U.S. agency Standard & Poor's and the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) has launched an investigation, but the damage was done.

As such, it must be remembered that the S & P is not his first "mistake". In early August, when the deterioration in the rating of the United States, the agency had already deceived 2,000 billion in the calculation of the federal debt.

This lack of reliability of the agency does not affect the market reaction.Thursday, shortly after the dissemination of this false information to 3:57 p.m., the French rate on loans to ten years amounted to 3.46%, bringing the pay gap with German bonds of similar duration to a record 166 points percentage not seen since the creation of the euro.

Everyone to understand that France will soon be degraded

This Friday, at the opening transaction, rates eased around 3.36%, but markets have learned their lesson. In exchange, everyone understood that in case of deterioration in the rating of France, synonymous with loss of the "triple A", the rates of government bonds with ten years showed 3.46%, or 3 , 5%. This would mean that in this case, France would borrow twice from Germany!

The shock is harsh, but it is ultimately not so dramatic as that. A 3.46 or 3.5% borrowing conditions in France remain reasonable.

Payday loan online has been a sort of sanctuary for millions who have discovered that by merely leveraging your income after lender verification, you can receive short term relief financially, and from actual related stresses.

Strike at Air France: the movement may harden

Sunday, October 30th, 2011

In the second of the five-day strike of cabin crew of Air France, the company promises, as before, to ensure 80% of its flights. Even if the unions, who believe that the movement is followed, announced an intensification of the mobilization against the proposed reduction in the number of cabin crew in some planes.

About 200 flights on the 1000 planned were canceled Saturday. "We have given the forecast. Saturday at midday, only 200 passengers 3,000 were in trouble, "noted the direction of the company. Air France has temporarily limited to 100 passengers the ability of its medium-haul flights from Orly to avoid having to put down passengers for lack of a sufficient number of hostesses and stewards. Result: Passengers waited. This strategy and the delays it caused affected customers were exasperated. "It's a nightmare bad credit payday loans. We have been waiting seven hours.Our flight departed. We could not board because Air France has focused on particular families. We were placed on a waiting list telling us that we might catch a plane at 12:30, chartered by another company. Shame, "railed one of them.

On the front of the long-haul Air France canceled at Paris ten flights especially to New York, Montreal, Los Angeles, Tokyo, Abu Dhabi, Douala.

Provided Air France does not rule out last-minute cancellations. Considerable uncertainty remains about the level of participation of PNC (cabin crew) in this movement, they are not obliged to prevent the company of their intentions. Moreover, unions provide them a "surge" of the movement. "All the volunteers PNC reserves are currently using," said Didier Foussat, the union FO.

Primary PS: yellow card for five major media

Thursday, October 20th, 2011

This is a first. The Higher Audiovisual Council (CSA) has given notice five major national media (Europe 1, France Inter, i-TV, BFM TV and LCI) which greatly exceeded the time allowed the Socialist Party between July and September last. While the rule of respect for pluralism provides that the parliamentary opposition must have a talk time of at least equal to 50% of that given to the majority bloc, the three news channels went off the counters with talk time 146% for i-TV, 142% for BFM TV and 130% for LCI.

Two national radio stations also sentenced to a yellow card. Europe has a wide-open its branch in PS with a talk time of 152%. Even France Inter, a radio public service has been formally for giving a talk time of 129% in opposition.The strings are warned if they reoffend, they face penalties!

"A special alignment of planets"

Convened Monday to CSA, those responsible for these chains are prohibited. This imbalance is due to broad "a special alignment of planets" in the news.

The DSK affair hit the headlines all summer, in September, the Senate shifted to the left and the Socialist Party held its primary. Two of the primary debates were broadcast on news channels, i-TV September 28 and October 5 BFM TV. The gap has even peaked in late August. Thus, i-TV spent 28 hours at PS 40 in July and August against 11:46 for the majority bloc.

The UMP had warned. Franck Riester, the national secretary for communication of the UMP had according to Jean-Francois Cope sent a letter to the CSA two weeks ago.He asked to see the imbalance of talk time and draw the consequences.

"Today, the CSA has highlighted what we said for weeks without being heard," says one in the entourage of Jean-Francois Cope. "This case is an opportunity to reflect on the rules. We were surprised by the impact of primary socialist. But I refute the idea that we are a party line. Instead, we have an image of independence online pay day loans. If the UMP held a primary, we would have done the same coverage, "said Alain Weill, CEO of NextRadioTV, parent company of BFM TV.

Wednesday, Michel Boyon, the president of CSA, and Christine Kelly, one of its members, recalled that "respect for pluralism of time is a constitutional issue and not to derogate pretext of a strong current. " "The senatorial primary and PS were predictable.Chains would have anticipated. This is not the fault of having prevented, I have met on 1 July to talk about, and late August to warn them, "said Christine Kelly.

No compensation

The CSA, responsible for enforcing pluralism in the media, has even been tolerant. "The 50% of time is a floor. The CSA was prepared to accept reasonable overruns due to the news. We could tolerate a talk time of 70%, 80% or even 100% exceptional, "said Michel Boyon. He reminded the rule for newspapers for information, speaking time is counted in three months. After abuse from July to September, the counters were reset for the period 1 October to 31 December."There will be no compensation for the excesses of talk time recorded in the previous quarter," said Michel Boyon.

Dialogue and anticipate

The CSA refutes the idea that the rule of pluralism is inadequate to news channels. Proof: France Info has not been formally general as his cousin was the France Inter. But difficulties exist.

The news channels should repeat the same news in their 45 or 50 daily newspapers. And each time a Socialist head is much talk time counted.

"The rules exist and we must respect them. For the future, it will interact intelligently with the CSA and better anticipate, "says Catherine Nayl, Director of Information of the TF1 Group. "But this is not always easy. And the interview with the DSK JT 20 hours of TF1 September 18 was widely reported on JT LCI. "

France is still looking for the keys to competitiveness

Wednesday, October 12th, 2011

What should imagine to make French industry more competitive and allow it to regain market share in the euro area? This is the question almost as old as the foreign trade report of the Economic, Social and Environmental Committee (EESC) tries to answer.Indeed, despite its strengths, the delay of France grows: the trade deficit to increase from 51 billion euros in 2010 to over 70 billion this year.

To stop the bleeding, Isabelle de Kerviler, rapporteur of the opinion that is presented this morning at the EESC proposes to facilitate the development of medium-sized companies in particular by improving the financial environment.

"We must strengthen the role of OSEO, we want to launch a loan specifically for the industrial sector and the creation of a special savings account," says the reporter who did not want to quantify the amounts or the levels of these measures especially to SMEs.

Other proposed runway: corporate taxation."It should modulate the rate of corporation tax, the report said, by shifting the tax burden of work on the consumption of natural resources or pollution or swaps."

"Create" Grenelle of competitiveness "

Compared to Germany, envied model that continues to get ahead of our country, the EESC notes that the French labor costs are not even an advantage.The moderation of costs across the Rhine and the progression (in the EU average) of this side are trimmed away.

Nevertheless, France still has a bright points in its favor: the dynamic demographic, geographic location, quality workforce, the quality of public services contrasts with an educational level that s' weakens.

To implement practical solutions, Isabelle de Kerviler wants to organize a "Grenelle of competitiveness." But is that enough to compete with Germany?

The Paris Bourse started the session sharply down

Tuesday, October 4th, 2011

The mood is gloomy Tuesday in the Paris Bourse. The debt crisis and fears of a default still saddled Greek markets. The CAC plunged 2.98% in the early morning at 2 839.50 points after having been closed on Monday, down 1.85% to 2926.83 euros. Elsewhere in Europe, London was down 1.40% to 5,004.51 points and Frankfurt from 1.72% to 5376.60 points. Also down sharply, Wall Street Monday reached its lowest level since September 2010.

Monday evening, the finance ministers of the Eurogroup announced after their meeting that they see "in October," the decision on the next tranche of 8 billion euros to Greece. Europe is planning to review the private sector in the second aid plan and is considering increasing the relief fund for indebted countries (EFSF).Finance Ministers have also agreed on the granting of collateral in exchange for loans to Greece.

Athens, meanwhile, announced new measures after Sunday warned that the country would not meet its deficit targets required by its creditors.

Oil down

Despite these announcements, this is no time to calm the markets on Tuesday morning. In Asia, the Nikkei yield 1.31% to 8433.27 points and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong 1.59% to 16,554 points. Fears weigh on the euro area also on the European currency has reached Monday, a low of ten years against the Japanese currency at 100.96, yen. This morning the euro is worth 101.21 yen and 1.3218 dollar.

Oil markets, concerns about the global economy weigh on prices: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November lost $ 1.11, to 76.50 dollars in early electronic trading.A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave up 92 cents to 100.79 dollars.

In terms of macroeconomic indicators, investors will pay attention to the publication of industrial producer prices in the euro zone at least August. Overseas, industrial orders in the U.S. for August are expected in 16 hours. At the same time, the president of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, scheduled to speak before a congressional committee on "economic forecasts".

Dexia has announced the sale of its flagship

The entire banking sector will be followed on Tuesday. The board of directors of Dexia (-27.7% to 0.94 euros) announced last night to have initiated a process to solve the structural problems of the group but did not mention track in particular.The Franco-Belgian bank should speed up the sale of its jewels and isolation of its non-performing assets in a "bad bank". His last note was placed on negative watch by Moody's.

The sugar group Cristal Union will acquire in a friendly group Vermandoise for nearly a billion euros to create the number five European sugar industry, which will be number two in France behind Tereos. Vermandoise group includes two companies listed on NYSE-Euronext Paris, the Society of Sugar Vermandoise (SVS) and the Sugar Company of the Old Pithiviers (SSPLV). The listing of the two securities is suspended.

GDF Suez (-0.20% to 22.40 euros) has completed the sale of the Rete Gas G6 consortium of infrastructure funds F2i, AXA Private Equity and Enel Distribution.The sale values ​​the distribution assets at an enterprise value of 772 million euros, to 103% of the regulated asset base in 2010, 9.3 times Ebitda and 17.5 times net income. This was announced in June.

Bonduelle (-0.80% to 64.34 euros) reported a sharp drop in its annual net profit by 48% to 30.4 million but expects a rebound in profitability for the year 2011-2012. The food group is also in talks to buy the vegetables Aucy in Russia.

Naturex (-0.76% to 49.42 euros), a specialist in natural ingredients of plant origin, will launch a capital increase of € 49.3 million to fund acquisitions and increase its free float stock.

The banking to the test

Thursday, September 29th, 2011

AND THREE! One by one the major French banks are going to Canossa and sacrifice to market a "piece" of their balance sheets. Faced with an earthquake and a tsunami regulatory markets, BNP Paribas, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole have now decided to haul down the wing, to reduce their credit or financial markets, so their ambitions.

Regulatory side, it is the new international financial rules – dubbed Basel 3 – exercising tremendous pressure. Before Basel 3, the balance of a bank should respond to a simple rule: for every 100 euros of assets, a bank must prove four euros of capital. Basel 3 is that floor to 7.50 euros (10 euros for the world's largest banks).In fact, walking is even higher, partly because the definition of capital has become more restrictive, because the requirements were noted in respect of the riskiest activities.

To comply with new rules, banks can either raise capital or reduce their activities. Until recently, they preferred the first option would have boosted capital by 2019 – the date of entry into force of Basel 3 – with the setting aside of the results and payment of dividends. It will actually go much faster – the Banque de France demands to be ready in 2013 – and in crisis. But the crisis, precisely, will weigh on results, and thus the ability to create capital.

An alternative course would be to raise fresh capital.But a capital increase – if it manages to attract investors very defiant towards the banking sector – would result, at the current share price, an unbearable dilution of existing shareholders, already battered.

There is therefore now no real choice but to reduce activity. What, specifically, means that Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole – like many others who have less news on the topic – "have both feet on the brake," says one industry expert small personal loans.

This has more or less impact. The political and financial authorities do not necessarily see a dim view that banks are reducing their market positions. They are more worried about the air pocket that is beginning to be felt on the structured credit or term loans, such as local authorities.

Three resources

But banks now have even less choice than the decrease in activity is also the most effective response to be made to the current liquidity crisis. Specifically, a bank finances its operations with three main resources: its capital, deposits and customer loans on the market, often for at least half of the balance sheet.

Or, take the market has become difficult and expensive. Difficult, because the widespread suspicion that affects the euro area discourages lenders from around the world to take risks, especially in respect of a banking sector by definition exposed to the debts of States.

Unable to borrow simply, banks have other options, more expensive, such as getting loans secured on assets. But again, the possibilities are reduced with the market value of assets.A good state of Italian example is now much less a guarantee that a few months ago. Moreover, if indeed it is … Every time a customer credit rating deteriorates a sovereign, then it erodes the capacity of refinancing of banks that hold. In this context, banks borrow more short-term before (which makes them more vulnerable) and more expensive, which degrades their margins, so their profits and their ability to produce new capital. Full circle …

ALSO READ:

"Moody's deteriorating Societe Generale and Credit Agricole

Italy strike against the backdrop of austerity

Wednesday, September 7th, 2011

General strike, plunging polls and growing skepticism of the markets. It is in this context that the Italian Senate Tuesday began a crucial discussion on the budget bill.

Silvio Berlusconi wants the recovery plan accounts, announced on August 12 but already relaxed, be adopted urgently by senators to advance to the European Central Bank (ECB), which meets on Thursday that the commitments requested by the 'Europe "were held." But the only way to meet this deadline is likely to engage the confidence of his government, he has not yet decided to do. Some in his party, invite him to seek dialogue with the opposition.

ECB and Bank of Italy, however, urged governments to take responsibility for reducing the public debt.Saturday, Cernobbio (northern Italy), Jean-Claude Trichet has urged Italy not to "waste time" to adopt structural reforms "strong and decisive." Monday, his designated successor, the head of the Bank of Italy Mario Draghi, has called on Europeans to "not assume" that the ECB will continue to buy "temporary" sovereign debt. Hans-Werner Sinn, president of the German Institute for Economic Research (IFO), the ECB made a mistake by buying Treasury bills Italian: "Only she started doing that the government of this country backtracked on its policy rigorously, "he lamented in the daily La Stampa.

The assumption that the ECB will reduce or cease its purchases of government securities alarm the Italian political and economic circles of the peninsula. On Monday, the short rate differential between Italy and Germany has set a new record to 327 basis points (3.27%).It was 160 basis points in late May. This means that investors demand a risk premium higher and higher to accept to lend to Italy.

This first day of examination of the text will be marked by a general strike launched by the CGIL. The main union in the country – 5.8 million members – calls for a tax on wealth which the government objected. He denounces a rigor that the popular classes are the costs, while the highest incomes are relatively spared. The abandonment of a levy "solidarity" of 5% on incomes over 90,000 euros and 10% in excess of 150,000 euros adds water to his mill.

Possibility of waiving the rules for dismissal

But most importantly, credible reforms, the government promised to amend the Labour Code a very rigid dating from 1970.Sunday, the Senate Budget Committee gave substance to this commitment by adopting an amendment that relaxes the conditions for termination. If he were finally voted, it would be possible to derogate from labor law, by agreement or even industry company, signed with the unions. Welcomes the employers, but for the CGIL, it is a "diktat intolerable." Other confederations welcome the amendment with more philosophy. For the ICFTU, Catholic, the measure is "inappropriate", but should not overly concerned, "What the union allow a dismissal?" Asks she.

ALSO READ:

"Tour of Europe's austerity plans

Nicolas Sarkozy praised his "toughness" against unemployment

Sunday, September 4th, 2011

It is in a climate much different than at the conference in support of Libya, the day that Nicolas Sarkozy was on Friday, his first visit in the province since September. He chose to address the issue of rising unemployment in the Vosges, where he is three points above the national average (9.1%), visiting the company KDGFrance specializing in the manufacture of DVD .

One way to illustrate the policy to support training through professional transition contracts. But the Elysée had also clearing the way for some 60 miles away, sending his agriculture adviser, Daniel Perrin, to listen to the grievances of the employees laid off soon a group Lactalis Cheese Company, which manufactures including cheese … President .While polls show an improvement, but in the context of attacks on returning the case Bettencourt, Nicolas Sarkozy wanted to place his action under the sign of toughness. "The important thing is persistence. It is a keyword. (…) We are not in Libya would not have happened without toughness … the same tenacity will be put on employment, competitiveness of France. You have to fight inch by inch and finally get results, "he said.

By repeating the word seven times, Nicolas Sarkozy coined the slogan of the day.He also managed to draw a parallel between the end of the Gaddafi regime, which fell when everyone was betting on the stalemate, and the "titanic battle for France again become a place of production."

Sarkozy has nevertheless recognized that unemployment figures for the last three months were "clearly not good, but how could they be in the context of global economic and financial crisis?". He preferred to put forward some encouraging statistics, such as increasing the number of jobs created (120,000 in the first six months of 2011) quick cash. As his Secretary of State for Tourism Frédéric Lefebvre, he also established a link between unemployment and the demographic vitality of the country."A workforce that is increasing every year 150,000 people (…) is good news because in thirty years, France will be larger than Germany (and) it's good for the financing of our system of retirement, "he was glad. But "before reducing to one the number of unemployed is to find 150,000 jobs for 150,000 new" entering the labor market, he said.

On the concrete cures, Nicolas Sarkozy has remained modest. He announced a boost of 20,000 additional assisted contracts for young people and more than 50 years. But in a crisis of sovereign debt, no way to release the tightening imposed on the state budget. For the first time, the head of state has defended the new plan unveiled last week by Francois Fillon, who has to save one billion euros in 2011 and 11 billion in 2012.However, he vigorously defended the inclusion of the golden rule in the Constitution. "My God, but where's the catch? Are those temporarily in charge of the direction of France can not undertake that the annual budget goes toward equilibrium? ".

He cited the example of bipartisan agreement that has just spoken in Spain, "the Socialists and the Spanish right love their country more than their party, and I hope for France that politicians love their country more than their parties and their personal interests, "commented the head of state to the attention of the opposition.

Wauquiez will help students to stay

Wednesday, August 31st, 2011

Laurent Wauquiez said Tuesday the establishment of a guarantee fund to facilitate student housing. Goal? Avoid default and the requirement for students to produce a surety. The guarantee fund as surety in place of the new residence hall occupants.

Initiated by Valérie Pécresse, it has been refined over the summer by the services of Laurent Wauquiez. Main innovation: This fund was set up in collaboration with private banks to replace the young who can not provide security for accommodation in university residences. The project is also to extend this funding to candidates for private dwellings.

A quest that may turn the galley

The announcement comes just a few days or weeks of their return, many students are actively looking for a roof.To facilitate a search that may turn into a hassle, avoid pitfalls and surprises, the CNOUS (National Center for University and school), umbrella Crous, opens a portal to a comprehensive supply Housing in Ile-de-France. In this site are not only offers university residences, but also offers private landlords benefiting from new label CNOUS. For this new label, the organization set up with professionals and students, a questionnaire containing the prerequisites for inclusion in the list of homes approved by the regional Crous (heating, sanitary facilities or a network electrical standards …).The questionnaire four themes: the quality of housing, proximity to centers of education, respect of good practice in relations between the landlord and the tenant and the student price. Indeed, a report by the DGCCRF of August 2010 complained scams that students are the most frequent targets: unfair, inadequate housing, debit authorization of maintenance and repair of the deposit, ban to host friends …

ALSO READ:

"Academic year, the cost would have increased by 4.1%

"A report lifts the taboo of the registration fees at the university

Golden Rule: "Protecting the French"

Sunday, August 28th, 2011

LE FIGARO – The government introduced this week its plan to redress public finances. The crisis of this summer did she raised awareness about the need to seize the arms at the waist?

Valerie PÉCRESSE – It has been four years since we conduct a rigorous, freezing state spending, by not replacing an employee on two retiring and controlling health care costs. Before the fall of Lehman Brothers in the summer of 2008, the government planned a deficit of 1.7% of GDP in 2009, a level which France would have reduced its debt! This proves that without the crisis, we would have deficits very limited. But in 2009, the deficit was actually 7.5% of GDP. The crisis changed everything (lower revenues, higher social spending, stimulus needed).When I hear the socialists say that two-thirds of the deficit comes from our economic policy decisions, I say that all European governments and the United States, as we faced the crisis and that the French debt increased less that on average our neighbors.

Do not you turn the austerity?

No. The austerity, it would have been to raise taxes for all the French, to lower the salaries of officials and social benefits. Our budget is a realistic budget that allows us to move forward on the path to debt reduction. By providing a deficit of 5.7% of GDP this year, 4.5% in 2012, 3% in 2013 and 2% in 2014, we have a credible path and we are taking another step. The rating agencies also believe, and for this we note that AAA.Now you will have noticed that we have revised down our growth forecasts for 2011 and 2012 to 1.75%. Take to achieve this trajectory despite the slowdown, it is necessary to make an additional $ 11 billion by the end of 2012. With Baroin, we proposed to the President of the Republic and the Prime Minister effort equitably, inspired by our social beliefs Gaullists. Everyone will be involved, but we will require more large companies and SMEs and more affluent households to the rest of the French.

How such a plan does not it weigh on growth?

We looked for the right mix of efforts to reduce deficits by protecting the jobs and growth. Because our policy is based on three pillars: the recovery of accounts and the debt that nurture confidence and thus growth.A historic investment in research and innovation through the research tax credit and investment for the future. And finally, structural reforms: pension reform, university autonomy, modernization of the state, etc.. All this increases the potential growth. It is these three pillars together that will allow France to emerge stronger from the crisis.

You announced a tax of 3% of earnings over 500,000 euros. Is this a level that you feel "extravagant"?

500,000 euros per person, a very high level of income. Between the tax on high incomes, higher payroll taxes on savings and the elimination of discounts on real estate gains, wealthier households will contribute a total of 3.7 billion.By raising taxes on savings, we compare the taxation of pa6trimoine that of labor income.

Of the 11 billion effort that you announce for 2012, corresponding to 10 billion tax increases. The State has happened after what he could do to reduce the expense?

No, because we will work with legislators to find additional savings of one billion next year. Through our reforms, we save 16 billion euros in government expenditure and for the first time since 1945 the payroll of the state will drop in 2012 because we have eliminated 150,000 jobs between 2007 and 2012 public. We need to continue structural reforms to go further: education, competitiveness and taxation, etc..The debate comes as part of the presidential election.

Should we expect new measures in the draft budget law in 2012 that you will present at the end of September?

The measures are on the table. The debate will engage with parliamentarians. I will be attentive to their proposals.

With the plan that you announced and the path of deficit that results, do you still need a "golden rule"?

It is always easier to meet its commitments when there are rules. We held the non-replacement of an official two retiring or freezing in the value of departmental spending, because we set the rules. The "golden rule" would protect the French of all political uncertainties. It is a seat belt. Remember that we are entering an election campaign, when all the promises reckless.If the Socialist Party wants to do, at least he will have to put the revenue required in the face. Empower the Constitutional Council to reject a budget that does not respect the commitments is a very important step. By refusing the helping hand of government on the "golden rule", the French Socialists isolate themselves from their European counterparts rather than inspiration.

After Germany, the UK signed an agreement with Switzerland that allows Brits having an undeclared account in Switzerland to remain anonymous while putting himself in good standing with the IRS. The Swiss bank levies a tax on the account, then tax it pays to the British state without giving names.France, she will follow this example?

We will study this question by examining the agreements signed by Germany and the UK to see if they are compatible with our republican principles: such agreements should allow for example the lifting of secrecy in Switzerland, when requested by a French judge. Our principles are not negotiable.