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Expected to increase conservative Wall Street this afternoon

Wednesday, August 31st, 2011

Shortly before the opening of the New York Stock Exchange, the index futures Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.91%, respectively, to 1215.80 points and 2246.25 points to 0.86%, leaving hope for a beginning of the session up. The Dow Jones was expected to share up 0.79% at 11,583 points.

U.S. investors, it seems, was reassured, once last night, by the tone of "minutes" of the last monetary policy committee of the Fed. This report has indeed confirmed that the U.S. central bank did not rule to use new tools of monetary easing to support growth ever more threatened. A perspective that also prompted the European markets to rebound on Wednesday morning, when he had closed the previous day on a mixed note.Also in the interests of peace, the United States, President Barack Obama said on Tuesday that the U.S. economy had a "heart attack" she was recovering at a slow pace as he prepares to unveil a new stimulus package.

Meanwhile, the volume still low despite the likely return of holidays for most investors, however, reflect a cautious market that continues. The current rebound, often excessive, thus remain fragile, the sudden relapse is, at every moment possible. And the meeting this Wednesday is evident, in this regard, not without risks.

The employment figures highly anticipated

Indeed, investors should react in particular the results of the ADP survey of employment in the private sector for the month of August, to be unveiled at 2:15 p.m. before, so the opening of Wall Street.The Chicago PMI index of industrial activity for the month of August, from 3:45 p.m., will also be closely monitored. Orders to industry for the month of July (1600) and the weekly oil inventories (16:30) conclude the list of publications of macroeconomic days.

On the corporate side, the American phone AT & T (1.23% on Tuesday in closing) pledged Wednesday to repatriate to the United States currently filled 5,000 jobs in its call centers overseas, where the green light to the acquisition challenged T-Mobile, the U.S. subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom.These employees will be "well paid", assured the group in a statement, recalling that he was the only major U.S. telecom operators to accept unions in its stores.

Bank of America (-3.21%) is preparing to further reduce its scope of activity in the mortgage, by stopping the sale of mortgage loans through independent agents, said Wednesday the Wall Street Journal, citing people close the file.

Hewlett-Packard (-0.26%) will temporarily restart production of its TouchPad Tablet, whose sales soared since the U.S. computer giant announced mid-August that he would cease to manufacture. HP announced on August 18 a sudden change in its strategy, through the cessation of production of its new tablet and its smartphones using the operating system of Palm webOS.HP also plans to separate its activities from production computers to refocus on software.

Wauquiez will help students to stay

Wednesday, August 31st, 2011

Laurent Wauquiez said Tuesday the establishment of a guarantee fund to facilitate student housing. Goal? Avoid default and the requirement for students to produce a surety. The guarantee fund as surety in place of the new residence hall occupants.

Initiated by Valérie Pécresse, it has been refined over the summer by the services of Laurent Wauquiez. Main innovation: This fund was set up in collaboration with private banks to replace the young who can not provide security for accommodation in university residences. The project is also to extend this funding to candidates for private dwellings.

A quest that may turn the galley

The announcement comes just a few days or weeks of their return, many students are actively looking for a roof.To facilitate a search that may turn into a hassle, avoid pitfalls and surprises, the CNOUS (National Center for University and school), umbrella Crous, opens a portal to a comprehensive supply Housing in Ile-de-France. In this site are not only offers university residences, but also offers private landlords benefiting from new label CNOUS. For this new label, the organization set up with professionals and students, a questionnaire containing the prerequisites for inclusion in the list of homes approved by the regional Crous (heating, sanitary facilities or a network electrical standards …).The questionnaire four themes: the quality of housing, proximity to centers of education, respect of good practice in relations between the landlord and the tenant and the student price. Indeed, a report by the DGCCRF of August 2010 complained scams that students are the most frequent targets: unfair, inadequate housing, debit authorization of maintenance and repair of the deposit, ban to host friends …

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U.S. bonds are resistant to the loss of triple A

Saturday, August 27th, 2011

Contrary to expectations, yields on government bonds to ten years U.S., the famous "T-Bonds," have not suffered the loss by the United States of their "triple A", which gave investors the best repayment guarantees available. Since the deterioration of the financial rating of Uncle Sat, August 6, the rating agency Standard & Poor's, the rate of return on government bonds ten years has even relaxed. It went from 2.58% the day before the announcement to 2.19% yesterday in New York.

"Common sense would that loss of the triple A, synonymous with degradation of the repayment capacity of borrowers, resulting in a tension on the rate of pay required by lenders, said Jean-Louis Mourier, economist at Aurel BGC. But the United States are in a particular position.In a world facing many economic uncertainties, bonds issued by the U.S. state are still considered a less risky than most other investments. "

Experts call this the "fly to quality", that is to say the postponement of international investors on asset quality at the expense of investment risk. "On the merits, there is no big difference between a AAA and AA +, said Philippe d'Arvisenet, chief economist of BNP Paribas. Everyone knows that the U.S. is heavily indebted, but nobody doubts their ability to repay their debts. However, there are concerns about the viability of the euro area, especially on signs of a slowdown in the global economy.These weigh on the shares, since one can fear a deterioration of business results. "

The shares were most affected

Since August 6, the Dow Jones, which includes the thirty largest U.S. companies, has in fact lost more than 3%, bringing in its wake all the global indices including the CAC 40 index, down 7.6% on the same period. Jean-Marie Mercadal, director of management at OFI AM, states that "analysts are still waiting for an increase of 14% of the profits of U.S. companies in 2012, but this estimate could be up to a 5% drop in a recession" . That's exactly what operators fear most.

In this context, the loans issued by the United States appears more secure.The U.S. bond market is mainly the most liquid and deepest in the world, ensuring that investors can sell their shares at any time, even in case of crisis. An advantage not available to France, which would it heavily penalized in the event of deterioration in its financial rating.

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Innovations in series to the radius Breakfast

Wednesday, August 17th, 2011

Activia has recently launched a variant of its yogurts, to be paid in grain payday loan lenders. (Photo credits: DR)

The Cac 40 worried about global growth

Wednesday, August 3rd, 2011

After losing more than 8% over the last seven meetings, the CAC 40 is on track to record an eighth consecutive day of decline. The stock market opened down 1.16% at 3473.36 points, reaching levels not seen since August 2010.

On other European financial centers, the Footsie-100 from the London Stock Exchange 1.50% to 5632.57 loose points, the DAX 30 Frankfurt Stock Exchange lost 1.66% to 6684.24 points, the FTSE MIB the Milan Stock Exchange drops 2.43% to 16,852.90 points, the Ibex 35 of the Madrid Stock Exchange gives 0.90% to 9032 points, the PSI 20 of the Lisbon Stock Exchange was down 0.86% to 6569, 24 points.

Juncker meets with Italian Minister of Finance

The European sovereign debt and U.S. continue to weigh heavily on the trend. Yield spreads between bonds to ten years Spanish and Italian over German bonds widen.They stood at 402 basis points respectively (13 bps) and 386 basis points (12 bps). Italy and Spain are again under pressure from the markets fear a contagion of debt. Their governments are mobilizing to stem the panic even if Brussels has ruled out any discussion of a bailout for those countries. The Italian Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti talks in Luxembourg on Wednesday with the leader of the euro zone, Jean-Claude Juncker.

China increasingly perplexed vis-à-vis the dollar

Investors also remain worried about the strength of U.S. growth. And, although the Senate has ratified Tuesday the plan to raise the debt ceiling. Insufficient agreement by Moody's which could lower the rating of the country.The closing down sharply on Wall Street Tuesday night also confirms the markets in their choice to continue to withdraw.

China, for its part welcomed the adoption of very hard this plan. Beijing said it would continue to limit its dependence on the dollar, whereas the U.S. has failed to defuse "the bomb of debt." The rating agency Dagong China in the wake downgraded American. Wednesday morning, Asian stock markets, with the exception of Shanghai, changing all down sharply.

Eurozone: activity in services slows further

On the macroeconomic front, the growth of activity in the services sector continued to slow in July to register their slowest pace since March 2010. The PMI index reached 54.2 against 56.1 in June.

The same goes for the euro area and for Germany: the composite index stood at 52.5 against 56.3 respectively in June and 51.1 against 53.3 in June.

For the euro area, growth in manufacturing in July (10:00) and numbers of retail in June (11:00) are also scheduled.

In the U.S., investors will also pay attention to employment figures in the private sector in July (2:15 p.m.), the industrial orders in June (16 hours), the ISM services in the month July (16 hours) and weekly inventory of crude oil (16.30).

Bic flies, Societe Generale sinks

Air France-KLM: -2.40% to 7.64 euros

The airline plans to delays or cancellations of flights, from Paris, following a strike by technicians responsible for maintenance of its aircraft.

Total: -1.15% to 36.37 euros

The oil company and its CEO Christophe de Margerie were returned to correctional late July for "active corruption" in the investigation into the UN program "Oil against food" in Saddam Hussein's Iraq from 1996 to 2003 officials said a judicial source.

Danone: -0.54% to 49.24 euros

The dairy group has unveiled a proposed acquisition of 250 million euros in nutrition in India to expand into the Indian markets for infant nutrition and medical purposes.

Societe Generale: -5.41% to 30.74 euros

The bank chaired by Frédéric Oudéa posted net income down 31% to 747 million because of writedowns on loans Greek past.Greece forced Societe Generale has given up its goal of net profit of 6 billion euros in 2012.

Crédit Agricole: -2.38% to 7.80 euros

The bank said it had sold its commercial finance Eurofactor in Britain to GE Capital.

Suez Environnement: -0.48% to 12.52 euros

The group specializes in water management and waste released on Wednesday a net profit down 43% to 221 million euros in the first half. Suez Environnement, however, reaffirmed its financial targets for 2011-2013.

Bic: 3.89% to 63.89 euros

Bic raised its growth target for the division of pens, lighters and disposable razors, to "greater than 5%" against up to 5%.Instead, the group anticipates a decline of about 10% growth for its advertising and promotional products division against 5% previously.

Hermes: -1.77% to 239.30 euros

The Association for the Defence of Minority Shareholders (Adam) wonders why the saddle spends as much to buy back its own shares, whose price has reached a new record this week, said Tuesday its president Colette Neuville.

Renault: -2.01% to 34.65 euros, Peugeot: -4.02% to 23.3 euros

American manufacturers have announced their sales figures on Tuesday night. Chrysler reported a 20% increase in sales of new cars in the U.S. in July, while Ford saw its own increase by 9%.

Accor: -1.53% to 28.38 euros

Accor announced the signing of the sale of catering group Lenôtre Sodexo following the favorable opinion of the works councils of both groups.

After-hours trading, Vilmorin and Cegedim must publish their annual turnover for the first and second quarters respectively.

HSBC will eliminate 30,000 jobs by 2013

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2011

New cold shower for employees of large international banks. After Goldman Sachs, Lloyds Banking and Intesa Sanpaolo, HSBC is about to turn to give a serious tightening in its workforce: the British giant plans to eliminate 25,000 jobs worldwide within two years, in addition to the 5000 already announced in Latin America, United States, Britain and France.

Institutions are trying to adjust to their new regulatory and economic environment heated, that undermine the profits of their activities and investment.

HSBC did not identify the countries involved in the wave of savings.But the new leader of the group since January, Stuart Gulliver, had clarified its intentions with the publication of its strategic plan in May: he wants to return to the strategy of geographical expansion at any of his predecessors, will focus its efforts to on Asia.

In 39 countries, the bank has planned to scale back or even shut down some businesses, as it did for its retail banking in Russia or Poland. In the U.S., it will sell 195 branches to First Niagara for one billion dollars. In total, approximately 10% of the HSBC will be affected by the wave of savings. "A brutal restructuring plunging thousands of employees in limbo," according to the union Unite.The purpose of the institution is to reduce by two years its fixed costs at least $ 2.5 billion.

New regulations

The markets expressed their good report: in a very depressed market environment, the title of the bank surged 2 online payday advance.19% Monday. Investors greeted the passage of publication of interim results of good quality, marked with a taxable income of $ 11.5 billion (8 billion), up 3% year on year.

The HSBC savings plan should also prepare the institution to banking regulations in the future. More demanding in terms of mobilizing capital and liquidity, the new rules have encouraged banks to lower their activity levels. The gloomy global economic outlook, fueled by the debt crisis, also pushing the leaders to be cautious.Especially for the upturn, the schools had massively hired two years ago, in trading activities, in particular.

Since the spring, the banking industry have frequent announcements of job cuts. Goldman Sachs will separate for "economic reasons" about a thousand employees in September. Barclays would have eliminated 600 jobs in its investment banking division, BarCap and 2000 in its retail operations, since the beginning of the year. His compatriot Lloyds Banking Group is preparing to offload 15,000 jobs in order to focus on the United Kingdom. Allied Irish Bank Irish plans to turn to go from 2000 employees. German Commerzbank has already eliminated 7,400 positions. Credit Suisse expects 2000 job cuts in its investment bank, Intesa Sanpaolo 3000 …

Sponsors: "Lacourt can thank Manaudou"

Wednesday, July 27th, 2011

Lefigaro.fr – Since his triple gold medal at the European Championships in Budapest in 2010, Camille Lacourt has increased its advertising contracts. How does the commercial success he started?

Jean-François-Salessy After his success in Budapest in August 2010, Camille has indeed come to me with Fabien Gilot Ménart and William, all three members of the Swimming Club of Marseilles, so we work together. In less than 24 hours in September 2010, and even if I was going to take a year off, it was decided. Camille's situation was a bit special because it suddenly goes from darkness to light, and was approached by many brands, especially in the beauty and cosmetics.We are closer to Clarins and their way of approaching things convinced us to work with them, rather than with other brands, less respectful of the requirements for driving a top athlete. The first six-year contract (to 200,000 euros per year, ie), indexed on the results of Camille and with a conversion clause, was based on what competitors offered. It was a beautiful first contract. We have also partnered with the OEM Tyre, which is unusual since Camille involved in the development and technical improvement of products it uses. He is also interested in the sale of these products, between 10 and 15% of sales according to the ranges.

French swimmers are they becoming future footballers?

I do not believe, and I do not want to turn into Camille Lacourt Christmas tree.We will announce in September a new partnership with a ready-to-wear, but it should be the last. He is now fine partnerships should not be wasted by "selling" in all directions. When talking about total earnings of Camille Lacourt (estimated this year to 700,000 euros ed), we forget that it is barely a month's salary football star. On the other hand, it is undeniable that the French swimming much more interested in brands and sponsors that there are six or seven years. I think Camille can say thank you to Laure Manaudou, who opened a gap, taking the very strong public support. It is no secret: it has made this popular sport, which attracted the public, media and sponsors. Today these brands look like a real sport discipline of competition, with major events and boys and girls out of the ordinary …who is a potential advertising. In a few months, these boys and girls who emerge may tell themselves, thank you to Camille Lacourt!

Jeremy just Stravius, who also athletic Tuesday, he may steal the show with brands?

It is a bit simplistic to look at it that way. Each swimmer to his personality. Camille Lacourt someone is authentic, casual and simple, has a rather glamorous image. This is not a scoop. But by winning yesterday with Jeremy Stravius ​​his world title in 100 meter backstroke, he also confirmed that he had not physically beautiful, he had another dimension. Which was very important to us because being European champion was not enough.If that fails, many would have indeed been delighted to say that he had lost in the advertising contracts and partnerships! The next objective is to confirm the sporting dimension to the London Olympics in 2012 (which would also provide the swimmer performance related bonuses as part of its contracts with Clarins and Tyre, ed.) For his part, Jeremy Stravius ​​has the best performance of his career. I am not his agent but I think its position corresponds to a different segment than Camille. His image more reassuring, more associated with strength, may be of interest to companies in the energy sector, banking or insurance. Like Alain Bernard for example, and partnerships with EDF Assurances or April.

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Hiring on permanent contracts rose in France

Friday, July 22nd, 2011

After a dynamic first quarter of 2011 (+8.4%), statements of hiring more than a month have edged down 1.4% in second quarter 2011, according to a study published ACOSS today ' hui. But they are nevertheless remained at a high level (1.94 million hires), comparable to the peak reached in early 2008. This decrease is due to decreased hiring in CSD over a month (- 4.6%), while those on permanent contracts have kept a steady pace (+2.9%). Including contracts of less than one month, the total number of declarations of non-temporary employment has remained stable compared to last quarter. However, it rose 5.7% year on year.

The decline in hiring of more than a month was mainly observed in the very small (- 2.9%). In companies with more than 20 employees, these hires were stable (- 0.3%), supported by the CDI (6.5%).In one year, reports of hiring more than a month increased by 2.0% in TPE and 8.5% in companies with more than 20 employees.

The French trade deficit hits new record

Thursday, July 7th, 2011

On the international trade front, France patina. For the second time in two months, the trade deficit hit a bad record in May, -7.422 billion euros, according to figures released Thursday by the Customs. Year over year, he moved to -63.418 billion euros, against -51.558 billion in 2010.

The poor sales in May due in large part by higher energy bills in France, reflecting a rebound in imports of natural hydrocarbons. Imports, burdened by this trend, amounting to 41.601 billion euros in May, up 2.9% over three months. This figure was moderated by the slowdown of industrial imports.This, "due to lower aircraft and naval acquisitions and a decline in purchases of electronic equipment and pharmaceuticals, 'the customs.

At the same time, "industrial exports sag again," they note. Result, exports grew by only 0.9% over the last three months to reach 34.179 billion euros in May "The persistent decline in transport equipment (aircraft in May, car in April) weighs on the trend," within Customs.

"Aérodépendance"

Important position in sales abroad, but very volatile, aviation fell 6.2% over the month."We had one the last two months show some" aérodépendance "of France, aerospace accounts for more than 10% of French exports and any slowdown in performance has a very significant effect on the external accounts of country, "Analysis Alberto Balboni, an economist at Xerfi.

"The weakness also dominates," adds customs. To make matters worse, military exports shrink to 100 million euros. "Exports, unlike imports, have not regained their pre-crisis level (they are still below their values ​​of mid-2008), continues Alberto Balboni.More worryingly, France is among the major industrialized economies (excluding Japan), which recorded the lowest export growth after the trough of the crisis. "

Dynamism of Germany

Only exceptions to this gloomy picture, agricultural exports go, and auto sales. "Sales at their highest level since the crisis, particularly to improve the major partners of the European Union," according to customs.

France breaks the limits in general thanks to the dynamism of its European neighbors, including Belgium and especially Germany. Customs also stressed that "sales to Africa, however, are well oriented (automotive and aerospace, cereals, refined oil), like those in the Near and Middle East (aircraft)".In contrast, Asian economies, exports that had supported earlier this year, marking time.

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The answer to skeptics Walnut

Friday, July 1st, 2011

To the Governor of the Banque de France's fundamental reforms undertaken by Greece will require eighteen months to take effect, requiring the donor countries to consider an extension of the duration of their funding. It demolishes the idea that to get out of Greece must leave the euro area.

LE FIGARO. – Is it realistic to think that Greece will really pay off debts?

Christian Noyer. – Absolutely. The effort to reduce deficits should be continued. The remediation plan is credible, it is the Greek government to find a balance between increased revenue and reduced spending. There is room for maneuver: to improve tax collection and initiate privatization, which is the quickest and least painful to reduce public debt.Last year, the government has cut the deficit to 5% of GDP which proves that it is possible with determination, to get quick results.

Is not it a shame that the plan agreed with the IMF and Europe is primarily financial and does not propose economic strategy for growth?

I disagree with this criticism. The expected reforms have two aims: improving the public accounts and strengthen the growth potential of the Greek economy, make it more competitive.

But it is impossible to rely on the devaluation of the currency. Is not that a handicap?

No, because you can get the same result by reducing production costs and nominal wages.On the surface this may seem obviously more complex than a depreciation of the exchange rate, but in reality, we avoid the perverse effects of the devaluation, which increases energy costs, the cost of raw materials and results in a higher cost of debt when it is denominated in foreign currencies. Overall, a modest reduction in income yields the same economic effects that a significant devaluation.

Why must now implement a second remediation plan, a year after that of summer 2010?

The original plan, decided in an emergency, assumed that in 2012 Greece back in the financial markets. It was clearly too optimistic. The fundamental reforms will require more than eighteen months to produce their effects and restore confidence.A three-year horizon seems justified, and that is the average duration of IMF programs.

The facts do not they give reason to Eurosceptics who the countries in the euro area are far too dissimilar to live with the same currency and the devaluation is the way?

Certainly not! Eurosceptics believe that the devaluation could make a country competitive and give sound public finances. Wrong. And the French experience has shown us. In thirty years, and many devaluations, we have never posted a budget surplus and so we were never able to reduce our debt stock! What brings the competitiveness, it is a sound public financial management, careful monitoring of production costs and structural reforms conducive to long-term growth.Moreover, being dissimilar in the same currency area is not necessarily a handicap, as shown in the American example. But it is clear that we were not vigilant enough about the differences in competitiveness, which have widened within the euro area. When a country has increased productivity by 1% to 2% per year and that his wages rise from 7% to 8% per annum, it is sure that it is untenable after ten years. As central bankers, we will be more critical and will not hesitate to publicly condemn such abuses.

A single currency and a market without trade barriers can they be sufficient to constitute an integrated market, while tax and social security are very different?

You're right, we must go further and further integration for a functioning monetary union. The European Commission is currently working.Similarly, we must return to a single banking market. Before the crisis, with the ECB, financial institutions in the euro area benefited from refinancing conditions identical, making a single market. But with the crisis and massive government intervention in favor of their banks, the markets viewed the bank credit ultimately depends on the state, rating agencies have correlated the ratings of banks with those of sovereign states in which they operate. It's a real problem.We must return to a single European banking market and create such a federal system that can manage the deposit guarantees and bank crises in Europe.

What do you think of the device proposed by the French banks?

This solution has the advantage of being on a voluntary basis – since it is the banks themselves who have proposed – and is attractive for all financial actors, pension funds and insurance … In particular, the formula provides investors with a guarantee of repayment of the principal holders can then consider that it's more interesting to come to a scheme such as staying with the debt they are today.It is a development that I welcome, though some technical issues remain to be resolved and accounting.

You yourself have referred to "horror scenario" …

Yes, because the restructuring would be a disastrous solution. Greek debt is owned primarily by the Greek economy, banks and pension funds … A Greek default on its debt immediately would mean serious problems for Greek banks. The state would then be forced to bail out its banking system. And overnight, no one would lend to Greece. The country would be forced to post a budget surplus, a surplus in its balance of payments in order to pay its civil servants, social security spending, etc.. Such a scenario would require an adjustment to ten times and with minimal delay.This is absolutely dramatic, hence the term "horror scenario".

We often speak of a "plan B" for Greece, in case it would be in default. What do you mean by this term?

There is no plan B. Greece must bring this plan to completion to find a healthy sustainable economy.

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