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Fillon is launching a comprehensive plan "anti-deficit" for France

Thursday, August 25th, 2011

"A strict policy to allow France to remain sovereign in the economic and social development." François Fillon Thus he justifies the battery of measures, presented Wednesday to prevent any slippage in the deficit in late 2011 and 2012. In the context of extreme nervousness of the markets and growing concern about the European debts, the government has a goal of "intangible" reduce the public deficit of France 5.7% of GDP this year to 4.6% in 2012 (4.5%, in fact, said the Prime Minister to keep a "margin").

This will be increased by one major plan: one billion euros in savings and additional revenue this year and 11 billion next year. An effort necessitated by the weakening of activity.The government now expects GDP growth of 1.75% in 2011 as in 2012, against 2% and 2.25% previously announced.

"We are careful to take steps that do not break the growth – from mainly by reductions in or cancellations of special tax treatment ineffective," argued Fillon. While expressing focused on building "social justice", promising to seek "more large companies and SMEs and more affluent households than modest."On closer inspection, it is the holders of wealth that will be most put to the range of measures, including tax on incomes above 500,000 euros, higher taxes on savings and real estate gains, movement of the plane 10% tax loopholes, increasing tobacco prices, lower exemptions from payroll taxes on overtime …

François Fillon has compiled a list of these decisions at a press conference at Matignon, before working at JT TF1. It was really his day! A day that Nicolas Sarkozy has sought not to ruin, leaving his Prime Minister to take the show on the subject that is dear to him: the public finances.Wednesday morning at the Elysee, where stood the Council of Ministers of return, Sarkozy has revealed no information about the extent and content of the savings plan, helping to leave the premiere of his first ads Minister, and thanked them for staying mobilized during the summer and especially during the height of the bear market paydayloan.

But however long the president returned to the causes of the crisis, which he presented to the government team as the result of displacement of the center of gravity of the economies of developed countries to emerging countries. "It is not a crisis of the euro, he said. It is a debt crisis. "A crisis that requires extra effort. At eight months of the presidential election, Sarkozy seems unwilling to let the idea settle the plan "anti-deficit" would actually be an austerity plan that does not say his name."We're not in an austerity policy. Rigor is when you drop the pensions of retirees, which reduces the salaries of civil servants and that we proceed with a general increase in taxes, "he argued. "It's not rigor. Make no mistake! ", He added to the government.

Some participants saw this as a caution vis-à-vis those on the right, let themselves go these days to use the word taboo. In the first line, the secretary general of the UMP, Jean-Francois Cope, who, in Les Echos on Tuesday, had assumed this term without qualms. "Do not waste time with words," had also added the deputy mayor of Meaux.

Nicolas Sarkozy, who used to repeat that "it is useless to kill the sick healed," remains sealed to the word "rigor".He wants, in the words of a minister, "provide for the future, find the ridge that would allow France to reduce its deficits without blocking the growth." He also wants to convince public opinion that France must include in its Constitution the "golden rule" to return to balance public accounts. "This rule is neither right nor left," François Fillon reiterated Wednesday.

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Wall Street should remain on guard

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

The session promises to be volatile on Wall Street on Wednesday, a day after closing in the red. In just over two hours of opening, the futures contract on the Dow is at equilibrium (0.02% at 11,389 points), as did the S & P 500 (0.03% to 1192 points). One on the Nasdaq was down 0.20% to 2195 points.

The markets seem to be torn between the desire to focus on quarterly results released last night or expected, and the wrong signals sent by the European and Asian markets. They are disappointed with the proposals of President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The two leaders, who gathered to discuss the governance of the euro area, have not provided a response to the concerns of investors about the debt crisis in the euro area.Of course, a battery of measures was announced: economic government of the euro area, "golden rule" budget, tax on financial transactions, fiscal convergence. But Germany and France have ruled out a strengthening of the European emergency fund (EFSF) and the creation of Eurobonds, measures eagerly awaited by the markets.

"The concerns of investors are unlikely to dissipate anytime soon and could increase the pressure against the European leaders' strategists warn of Crédit Agricole CIB. "We are concerned that investors not only in the short term this framework must also be approved by all other countries and which offers no short-term response to the problems that worry the markets," added the manager of Barclays scholarship.

Oil up

In this context, operators will try to focus on indicators of the day.Before the opening, the Labor Department will release the index of producer prices. Weekly oil inventories will follow. Investors expect a decline in reserves, which pushed the futures contract on a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in September rose 1.19% to 87.68 dollars.

Note the side of the currency, the attempt to rebound in the euro against the dollar. After being battered in the Asian trade, the single European currency recovers. Around 11:30 in Paris, the euro bought 1.4450 dollars against 1.4406 dollars late Tuesday.

The values ​​of the day

News companies are also responsible for:

The Dell IT group has published Tuesday profit up 63% in the second quarter to $ 890 million, or earnings per share of 54 cents higher than expected. But the group has revised its annual sales targets downward.

Analog Devices reported last night for its third fiscal quarter, net earnings rose to 219.9 million dollars. But the group has disappointed analysts by saying that he expected an exaggerated caution of customers in a context of growing global economic uncertainty.

Abercrombie must report before the market opens its second quarter results. Ls forecasts indicate a profit of 29 cents per share and a turnover of 916.8 million dollars.

Deere also has pre-market release the results of its third fiscal quarter. The benefit should be 1.66% per share, according to economists.

Staples will announce its second quarter results, as Hot Topic, Limited Brands and Petsmart.

The banking sector battered yesterday after the European project for the taxation of financial transactions, will also be monitored.

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Innovations in series to the radius Breakfast

Wednesday, August 17th, 2011

Activia has recently launched a variant of its yogurts, to be paid in grain payday loan lenders. (Photo credits: DR)

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The Fed is concerned about growth

Wednesday, August 10th, 2011

After the European Central Bank (ECB), it's time for the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to dive into the arena. The Central Bank of the United States met on Tuesday FOMC's Monetary Committee. Supposed to be, usually, a meeting classic, this appointment has turned the eyes of the financial world in crisis meeting. It is indeed the first time the Fed meets in public since the beginning of the financial crisis and especially his first public speaking since the deterioration of the financial rating of the United States by Standard & Poor's.

Not surprisingly, it has maintained its key interest rates between 0% and 0.25%. However, she said that this policy would be extended "until mid-2013," sign it receives considerable stress on growth. In fact, she says, "the risks to the economy rose" and growing "considerably slower than expected."

Other measures

"The Fed is playing a tough game with the words, it must show it is taking the situation seriously, without making too much not that the markets are worried about a return to recession," said Philippe Bruneau, Director central bank Neuflize OBC. For the latter, "the only good news for the current crisis is the drop in oil prices, which dropped below the 80 dollars a barrel after reaching $ 115 in the spring. A decrease of $ 10 is equivalent to 0.3 percentage point of growth in addition to the United States. " It is not certain that the message of this evening of the Federal Reserve reassured. Especially since three members of the Monetary Committee voted against the decision to keep rates from 0 to 0.25% until 2013.Evidence that the division now also prevails in the central bank.

Taking note of the slowdown in action, the Fed said "consider further steps to promote stronger economic growth." But without saying more. "Ben Bernanke was forced to send a message to investors and told them that he will continue to support the price of U.S. government bonds, weakened by the S & P's decision," said Antoine Brunet, director of AB Markets.But by not precise commitments, Ben Bernanke shows how the scope is narrow to implement this new policy unconventional.

China, the first lender in the United States which it holds more than 1.3 trillion dollars in debt, is fiercely opposed to these measures, particularly in quantitative easing, which is for the Fed to directly purchase U.S. Treasury debt. "To walk the printing press allows the U.S. to go into debt on the backs of low-cost external creditors," a summary of the economists of HSBC. Moreover, "it keeps the dollar at low levels and put pressure on emerging currencies, including the yuan." The Chinese authorities find themselves faced with an alternative: let their currencies appreciate or prevent this movement, which requires in turn create the currency.Action inconsistent with their goal to fight against inflation (see cons below). "In one way or the other, China is losing, 'the experts of HSBC. The previous quantitative easing campaign was very unpopular in China. A new one could cause actual casus belli. With the key threat by Beijing to stop buying U.S. Treasuries.

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Veolia will not achieve its annual targets

Friday, July 29th, 2011

Veolia Environnement title should suffer this morning at the opening of the Paris Bourse. In full-season publications, investors thought instead to have their eyes on the accounts of the CAC 40 large, but the specialist environmental services announced this morning in a statement it would not hold its 2011 goal of growth in net profit, due to provisions and write-downs that he will in its half year (ended June 30, 2011) to about 800 million euros.An unexpected result of avertisssement should not help support the Paris Stock Exchange, expected back in the red this morning.

Engaged in a process of "refocusing its operations," Veolia has in fact has indeed increased the sales and partnerships since the beginning of the year, more than 1 billion euros of capital gains generated over 400 million under discontinued operations. However, the group of Antoine Frérot wants to go further, and believes that in Southern Europe, North Africa and the United States "based on the latest developments in operations", Veolia Environnement decided to launch new restructuring actions, redeployment and adjustment of activities in scope.

Confirmation of organic growth target

Hence the revised forecast recorded in the accounts payday advance lenders.Beyond the revision of the forecasts on net income, management expects an adjusted operating income excluding Veolia / Transdev (transport sector) "slightly lower at constant exchange rates" over one year against a growth of 4 to 8% previously announced. The only consolation, however, should not that bring smiles to the market, "the goals of organic growth, cost reduction of 250 million euros on sales of 1.3 billion euros and free cash flow positive after dividend payments are confirmed, "says Veolia.

No details yet on the new estimated net income, but Veolia, which will detail its half-year Thursday, August 4, should be a strong values ​​followed this Friday and next week. "Veolia Environnement August 4 detail the steps to refocus and improve profitability decided" also stipulates the release.Note that these results for the first six months of the year should also reflect the impact of lower volumes of waste treated during the crisis.

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The largest banks will boost their capital

Saturday, June 25th, 2011

International financial authorities are preparing to endorse the creation of a "club" of the world's largest banks. Thirty institutions will thus be subject to particularly stringent constraints so that they are even better than the rest of the sector, protected in a crisis.

The most technical work in progress is expected to close today by the Basel Committee, the headquarters of the Bank for International Settlements. Saturday, it is the central bank governors and other officials of banking supervision that could endorse their conclusions.

Engaged for over a year, negotiations to define a particular treatment for qualified financial institutions of systemic, those whose health has an impact on the entire industry.Three criteria will preside mainly the selection of "systemically important banks," according to the word Basel: size, interconnection with the international financial system and the complexity of their activities.

According to indiscretions that have filtered in recent weeks on the work of the committee, regulators should develop up to five categories of systemic banks. Membership in a particular category of capital will determine the mattress, each of which will be able to prevail.

Under the general rules already written (called "Basel 3"), lambda banks will be subject to a minimum level of capital fixed at 7% of their commitments. For larger systemic banks, an additional 2.5 or 3 points would be imposed. For the category from below, it would be 2 to 2.5 points, etc..Behind these ratios abstruse, it is tens of billions of euros and dollars are at stake

Who will be affected? Financial analysts make their Paris, and generally agree to rank high on their "track record" the British HSBC, RBS and Barclays, the U.S. Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America and Deutsche Bank. In France, BNP Paribas is sure to be in the higher category. The case of Societe Generale and Credit Agricole are less clear, such as those of UBS or Goldman Sachs … Dozens of smaller banks in the world will finally be described as systemic without having to inflate their own funds and they will only be subject to close monitoring.

Moderate growth

For the handful of banks that held the upper hand, the financial effort – theoretically spread until 2019 – will be considerable.The aim is both to make them safer, but also to discourage everyone to grow again. Moreover, to encourage larger growth to moderate, an empty category of participant, but subject to even greater stress will be created.

Although the principle of these categories seems systemic stopped, the debate continues to rage. Critics of the rule point out that the creation of a banking elite is dangerous: the institutions that will be considered as protected members of the risk of failure by the authorities themselves. And the banks may feel free to take greater risks.

Another point of controversy concerns the advisability of the boat still banks when the economy Flageole.In the United States and Europe, bankers but sometimes some of their regulators warn against measures to curb the strength of banks could stifle their ability to finance the economy. An episode recently shown the virulence of the debate at a conference, the respected head of the U.S. bank JPMorgan, Jamie Dimon, was himself arrested on this point the Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke. A rare public skirmish in the world usually so subdued in the bank.

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The difference between the iPhone and Android narrows

Saturday, June 18th, 2011

Android has not exceeded the iPhone in France. At the end of April, the Apple smartphone was the most used in France, according to data from comScore reported to figaro.fr. After a breakthrough hit in 2010, the models using the Google system have indeed grown more timid at the beginning of the year. They represented the end of April 24% of the installed base (3.5 million users), against 21.8% three months earlier.

While growth slowed slightly to Android, the gap with the iPhone is still more tenuous than ever. Always installed first, with 4 million users aged 13 and over (27.9%), the smartphone from Apple is losing ground.Conversely, Research In Motion, the maker of BlackBerry continues to grow (9.2%), while Microsoft is showing some signs of tremor phone through Windows 7 (7.5%), after falling to the lowest in March.

Apple changes its position

Continuing the momentum, Android could surpass the iPhone in France this summer, thanks to the arrival of new flagship models like HTC and Samsung S Desire Galaxy S2. Very aggressive, the South Korean manufacturer is the one who benefits most from the success of Android in the country. The number of users of its smartphones has more than quadrupled in a year, according to comScore free business cards.The trend is the same abroad: Japanese analyst firm Nomura expects Samsung to become number one in sales from that quarter, to Apple and Nokia.

Already exceeded by Android a year ago the number of users in the United States, however, Apple has found a solution to always appear first rankings. At its last conference in San Francisco in early June, Steve Jobs presented statistics comparing the Google system not only to the iPhone, but also to other mobile devices running IOS with the system, that is to say the iPad and iPod touch. A comparison to his advantage, puisqu'Android is still in its infancy in the shelves and almost absent from the players.

As the United States, Apple also increases his lead over Android in France when we accept this method of calculation.So a little over 6 million French people using terminals iOS, against 4,000,000 for the Google system, according to comScore survey. As the United States, owners of iPad is a little older than the average smartphone users. They also have more often an iPhone or a Samsung phone, and are less likely to Nokia and BlackBerry.

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IMF: India does not undertake on behalf of Christine Lagarde

Tuesday, June 7th, 2011

From our correspondent in India.

The French Minister of Economy, Finance and Industry met Pranab Mukherjee, his counterpart of Finance in India, and on Tuesday she will meet with Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. It should also see Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Deputy Chairman of the Commission Plan. It is no coincidence. There are a few more days, Ahluwalia had been presented as a potential candidate from India. And why not, BRICS, the bloc of emerging economies that account Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. Then the rumors were silenced. Officially, Montek Singh Ahluwalia would have exceeded the age limit for a candidate.In fact, Delhi has decided not to enter the race.

"The selection of the Chief of the IMF or the World Bank should be on the basis of merit, competence and transparently," Pranab Mukherjee launched after receiving Christine Lagarde. "Since the World Bank president has always been an American and a European director of the IMF, it would be logical to try to persuade the fund to elect now a candidate from a developing country, whose influence on the global economy is growing, "protested Anant Goenka, an economics professor. Continuing: "Why this silence (from India) while China, Brazil and South Africa are on the frontlines demand a change?"

Paradoxically, New Delhi does not seem interested in carrying the "Battle of the IMF."Defeatist, India? "You can say so, but the silence of Delhi shows that Indians are particularly realistic in this matter," says BL Pandit, director of the Delhi School of Economics. It is not a democratic election, the contribution of India to the IMF's reserves is not very high, and finally, everyone here thinks that games are made and, again, the position go to a European cash advance loan no fax. " He acknowledged however that "things are changing rapidly" and that growth is changing latitudes, "it might be that the leaders of the Western world are considering share positions in international forums."

The Mexican candidate is expected Friday in India

At the last summit of BRICS in China last April, India had not been left to demand a reform of the Bretton Woods for emerging countries.In late May, when Dominique Strauss-Kahn had resigned, Manmohan Singh, who was visiting Addis Ababa, had stormed: "Reform of the Bretton-Woods is a priority for developing countries." He has since changed his tune. On the occasion of the visit of German Chancellor Angela Merkel in late May, the leader of the Indian government said: "A prestigious position must go to the best candidate, regardless of nationality."

Friday, it was the turn of the Mexican candidate, Augustin Carstens, to come "courting" the Indians. The Governor of the Central Bank of Mexico would have already secured the support of Brazil. As for Christine Lagarde, she will travel to China. Beijing would be willing to support the French if they receive in return, the post of Deputy Director of the Fund at the end of the year.BRICS speak anyway no one voice since, the last G8 summit, Russia has already row behind Christine Lagarde.

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Bertrand Puech: "We are subject to constant attacks"

Monday, May 30th, 2011

Hermes is Monday night in Paris the first general meeting of shareholders since its entry in October 2010, the capital of LVMH (with 20% today). The heirs, who hold 72% stake, hoping to get the green light in September the Court of Appeal of Paris to their proposed freezing holding a majority of shares, to defend against a raid by Bernard Arnault. Bertrand Puech, president of Émile Hermès family (sole general partner of the listed company Hermes International), a member of the fifth generation of heirs, is against the proliferation of litigation against the project, including those of the Association for the Defence of Minority Shareholders chaired by Colette Neuville.

LE FIGARO. – What will you announce to the general meeting of Hermes on Monday night?

Bertrand Puech.- We will announce, as we know already that 2010 was one of the finest, if not the best year, Hermes has lived for 174 years. The results were extraordinary in an economic context that was not favorable. This allows us to pay a dividend of 1.50 euro increased significantly compared to normal.

LVMH will he represented and he can enjoy his voting rights? Are you afraid of possible obstructions of the meeting?

The shareholders are all invited no teletrek payday advance. LVMH said it would. He always said, if his friendship, in any case his pacifism. I am not chairman of the meeting but things should happen normally, as usual.

What do you think of recent legal actions taken by minority shareholders against the proposed family holding Hermes?

I do not understand.It's very sad and painful for members of a family committed to an ethic of openness and honesty for generations to be scratched before the courts, then we're just defending the values ​​of quality. You should know that Ms. Neuville is a minority shareholder, who owns a single share, which represents only herself. She can not speak for the association which is not approved by the AMF. And it is wrong to fight. If she wanted to play a role in defense of minority, why does she not be interested in the fact that one shareholder said suddenly have 17% of our capital, purchased since 2008 without making it to the markets? I think she has given way to a big bad wolf.

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Sanofi starts against Crohn's disease

Monday, May 16th, 2011

While the French laboratory had to pay $ 20.1 billion two months ago to put (last) hands on the giant American biotechnology Genzyme, renewal of product portfolio does not seem finished.

Certainly, this large acquisition Sanofi offered the double advantage to gain strength in biotechnology, a field in which he accused some delay, and the muscles of the profile of its development pipeline. But it does not completely solve the problem of loss of its main patent medicines, a loss that threatens almost 30% of sales of Sanofi between 2008 and 2013.

Hence the willingness of management to continue to develop other partnerships in research and development, like the one unveiled this morning by the French laboratory.In a statement, Sanofi announcement that he will spend 50 million dollars to obtain from the French subsidiary of Glenmark India, exclusive marketing rights in North America, Europe, Japan, Mexico, Argentina, Chile and Uruguay from GBR 500. This monoclonal antibody, currently in phase I clinical trial is developed for the treatment of chronic autoimmune disorders. The license acquired by Sanofi on the product concerned in particular the treatment of Crohn's disease (chronic inflammatory gastrointestinal) and other chronic autoimmune diseases.

If it came on the market, the product would otherwise be co-marketed by both groups in Brazil, Russia, Australia and New Zealand. This horizon remains distant, the GBR 500 being still in early stages of development (determination of the optimal dose and safety profile).Then remains to determine the safety profile and effectiveness, on a limited number of patients and more extended. Tests that require several more years.

Second agreement between Sanofi and Glenmark

Under the agreement, Glenmark will receive an initial payment of $ 25 million at the close of the transaction, then a second payment of $ 25 million contingent on the positive assessment by Sanofi, some data provided by Glenmark. The latter will also receive milestone payments based on the development, registration and marketing of the product. Finally, Glenmark will receive double digit royalties on net sales of marketed products.

This is not the first time the two groups work hand in hand.A year ago, Glenmark and Sanofi had in fact already announced a similar agreement (upfront payment, milestones and royalties) of up to $ 325 million for the development and commercialization of new molecules, including GRC 15300. This molecule is in Phase I clinical trials in the treatment of diabetic neuropathic pain and osteoarthritic pain.

With this new license agreement, Sanofi like to continue on a policy to acquire new products, while sharing the risks inherent in medical research. If successful, it would allow Sanofi to expand in Crohn's disease, a condition in which the need for therapeutic innovation is important. Indeed, current treatments do not allow patients to cure the disease but simply to control and limit the debilitating symptoms associated with it.In France, this disease affects about 1 in 1000, approximately 60,000 patients potentially affected. The young biotech company Neovacs also working on this disease, and is currently conducting a clinical phase I / II drug candidate TNF Kinoid. Biotech has introduced about a year ago on Alternext to find the funds needed to develop its product.

At the Paris Bourse, the announcement of Sanofi has been rather well received, clinching the title 0.41%, to nearly 54 euros in a bear market. Since the beginning of the action of the pharmaceutical company rose 12.85%.

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