Archive for the ‘economic’ Category

Thursday, November 24th, 2011

The concern is still apparent at the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. The CAC 40 ceded 0.72% in early trade at 2850.85 points. Unable to maintain its rebound yesterday, the CAC 40 would be difficult to bounce back following the announcement of a further slowdown in the Chinese economy. Preliminary PMI Manufacturing activity in China, issued by HSBC this morning, recorded in November, its biggest drop since March 2009, to 48 against 51 in October. Below 50, this means a contraction.

The country's dependence on exports is the main cause of this fall, analysts said the bank. China is beginning to feel the impact of the economic downturn of its main European and U.S. clients. To this end, HSBC is lowering the forecast industrial production to 11% or 12% year on year in the months to come (against 13 no fax payday loans.2% in October).The growth of the second world economy is showing disturbing signs of slowing: GDP rose 9.1% in the third quarter against 10.4% in late 2010.

The news depressed Asian investors this morning. These were already suffering from the downward revision of U.S. growth in the third quarter. Wall Street had also cashed a new bearish session yesterday.

Meeting the agenda of the euro area

This accumulation of bad news in addition to the always present fear about sovereign debt problems. France and Germany announced their wish to present proposals on reforming the EU treaties. "With Angela Merkel we will soon make proposals with regard to the Treaty amendment to prevent that countries can differ in the fiscal, economic and tax," said Nicolas Sarkozy.

Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

A few months before the presidential election, the 35 hours are back in the debate. The UMP should provide, at its convention started on Tuesday, returning to the reduction of working time negotiated by Martine Aubry in 2000. According to the Minister for Ecology, Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, the majority party would provide an opportunity for partners to open branch agreements on the subject. Objective: To renegotiate the legal working time by sector. "There are industries in which the 35-hour sustained pose problems, despite the flexibility we have made, [...] areas where it is more complicated than others, where the division of labor is much less homogeneous in others, "said the minister this morning on LCI.

The method, a general law on working time does not seem to agenda.The Secretary General of the UMP, Jean-Francois Cope, has thus also opposed, on Tuesday in La Voix du Nord, "an arbitrary law" on the back 35 hours. "The issue of working time should not be a taboo [...] but do not do anything. Working time should be determined by industry or company, with the social partners. We do not work the same way in construction, food processing, nuclear power, "he said. A position consistent with the wishes of the MEDEF. The employers' association had called in January the government to "trust the social partners". "The concept of a legal term that would be the same for everyone and all the time is obsolete."

"The release of 35 hours is inevitable"

The goal, however, is clear. For the majority party, back in one way or another about 35 hours is a must.

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

Above all, he pretended to ask: "Imports do they contribute to the financing of our social model?" A new reference to the social VAT. On October 27, on television, already, the President had made it clear that this tax may be included in his campaign program … if it were to be a candidate to succeed himself.

The idea is to partially fund the social security system with a consumption tax us fast cash. In return, the employer contributions would be reduced, to reduce labor costs. The scenario, long taboo in 2007 as mentioned awkwardly between the two rounds of parliamentary by Borloo, brings together more and more supporters to the right and center, but not unanimous. The reluctance address the risk of inflation, so drop in purchasing power.

TF1 stock market plunges after disappointing results

Friday, November 11th, 2011

The effect of the crisis was immediate for the television market and particularly for TF1. The first French commercial channel just announced for the first nine months of the year, a decline of 1.6% of its advertising revenue to 1.054 billion euros. The decline is even more pronounced for the third quarter, which ends, as advertising revenue in the chain were down 3.2% to 296.6 million compared to last year at this time.

An equation that TF1 attributed to "a macroeconomic environment less favorable than expected, especially from September." This "economic uncertainty", leads the group also anticipated for the year 2011 "a withdrawal of consolidated turnover of about 1%."

However, if the proceeds of the TF1 channel degrades, the group announced a turnover in nine months, up 0.7% to 1.826 billion euros.

Strike at Air France: the movement may harden

Sunday, October 30th, 2011

In the second of the five-day strike of cabin crew of Air France, the company promises, as before, to ensure 80% of its flights. Even if the unions, who believe that the movement is followed, announced an intensification of the mobilization against the proposed reduction in the number of cabin crew in some planes.

About 200 flights on the 1000 planned were canceled Saturday. "We have given the forecast. Saturday at midday, only 200 passengers 3,000 were in trouble, "noted the direction of the company. Air France has temporarily limited to 100 passengers the ability of its medium-haul flights from Orly to avoid having to put down passengers for lack of a sufficient number of hostesses and stewards. Result: Passengers waited. This strategy and the delays it caused affected customers were exasperated. "It's a nightmare bad credit payday loans. We have been waiting seven hours.Our flight departed. We could not board because Air France has focused on particular families. We were placed on a waiting list telling us that we might catch a plane at 12:30, chartered by another company. Shame, "railed one of them.

On the front of the long-haul Air France canceled at Paris ten flights especially to New York, Montreal, Los Angeles, Tokyo, Abu Dhabi, Douala.

Provided Air France does not rule out last-minute cancellations. Considerable uncertainty remains about the level of participation of PNC (cabin crew) in this movement, they are not obliged to prevent the company of their intentions. Moreover, unions provide them a "surge" of the movement. "All the volunteers PNC reserves are currently using," said Didier Foussat, the union FO.

Life insurance falls into the red

Monday, October 24th, 2011

The ax has fallen. In September, the French withdrew 11.5 billion euros in their contracts of life insurance in order to invest in alternative investments. With a collection of 9.7 billion euros, the "preferred placement of French" displays so a net outflow of 1.8 billion euros. "Financially, there is a stabilization of outstanding, grade Pierre de Villeneuve, president of the commission life of the French Federation of Insurance Companies (FFSA) and Chief Operating Officer of BNP Paribas' Cardif. The outflow is offset by the capitalization of assets. "

This net outflow nevertheless a very symbolic event for the world of insurance. This is the second time this has happened since the publication of a monthly indicator in 1997.In the panic of the fall of Lehman Brothers, the purchase of contracts had exceeded the collection in October and December 2008.

The new episode of outflow was expected, the movement of withdrawals flying for several months. Several factors explain this cold snap. "The environment encourages individuals to anxiety out of stock or bonds to promote short-term investments or stone," said Jean Berthon, president of the Federation of Independent human savers for retirement (Faider) . Hesitations about the tax life insurance at the beginning of the year have also left its mark.

Banks are active

In this context, investors do not have particularly appreciated the booklet A faxless payday advance. Despite its attractive net salary of 2.25%, in September it displays a modest collection of 1.13 billion euros.Investments flagship autumn are to be sought in bank books boosted short-term offer of 3.5% to 6%, for periods of three to twelve months. Banks, ordered to adapt very quickly to new regulatory requirements of Basel III, should not relax their efforts to build up a stock of customer deposits.

Insurers temper the consequences of withdrawal. Indeed, if an individual purchases a life insurance company invests in securities with face holding horizon is closer to the life of the contract, that is to say very often in bonds.The outflow thus results for insurance companies by sales of bonds, exposing companies in an environment of rising interest rates to a realization of unrealized losses.

"The life insurance companies have tools to deal with exceptional events: the capitalization reserve, the reserve for surplus and unrealized gains …" insists Pierre de Villeneuve. As for the outflow, or it should not affect investment returns, or the results of companies. This is a good opportunity to show the flexibility of life insurance to meet the needs of some investors. "

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Good third quarter for Danone, carried by the child nutrition

Tuesday, October 18th, 2011

Danone does not disappoint analysts. The group released on Tuesday a turnover in the third quarter, excluding the impact of changes in exchange rates and consolidation scope, up 5.9% to 4.80 billion euros, in line with market forecasts . As reported, the increase was 10.5%. "The effects of exchange reflected the unfavorable impact of changes in certain currencies, including the U.S. dollar, the peso, and the Russian ruble. The change in scope of consolidation mainly due to the integration of the Russian company Unimilk, "the company said in a statement.

All industries show an increase in sales: fresh dairy products (+3.5%) in water (7.9%) through medical nutrition (9.8%). But it is the child nutrition that takes up the results (10.5%).For the latter pole, "the strong growth in value of 5% reflects both the favorable mix of growth, and also increases in the prices since the beginning of the year in most markets" , the group said.

For the first nine months of the year, the group recorded an increase of its turnover by 7.7% on a comparable basis to 14.5 billion euros. All of which leads to the Group CEO, Franck Riboud, that "Danone is doing well: Asia, Latin America and the Africa-Middle East continue to grow strongly. We work to strengthen our leading position in Russia and the United States and our performance in Western Europe remains strong. "

Confident in the long term

Equally optimistic, the Chief Financial Officer Pierre-Andre Terisse said during a conference call that the dynamics of the fourth quarter should be "fairly close" to that of the third.He therefore reiterated its 2011 objectives, namely an increase in sales on a comparable 6% to 8% and an increase in its operating margin by about 0.2 percentage points, still like. This growth will come from all its activities, but particularly integration synergies of Unimilk, said that Danone still expects to grow its free cash flow consistent with the goal of two billion euros for 2012.

"This is the construction of our engines of growth that continues to make me confident: confident for 2011, we will deliver as expected a strong and profitable growth, despite the sharp rise in commodity prices since the beginning of year; also confident for 2012, "enthuses Franck Riboud.

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G20: Paris seeks to prevent patterns of tension

Saturday, October 15th, 2011

A sequence at high risk for economic diplomacy opened on Friday in Paris with a G20 Finance Ministers, which ends in mid-afternoon today. The summit precedes the meeting of European heads of state, October 23 in Brussels, to enable Europe to get united at the top twenty richest countries in the world, at Cannes, 3 and 4 November. The road is marked. But after the race progress is uncertain. The subjects of accumulated tensions between developed countries, amid Sino-US tensions around the issue of exchange rates.

Aware of the pitfalls, Paris, who chairs the G20 seeks to avoid the reasons for tension. First objective: to show that Europe is determined to solve the crisis of its debt, which raises concerns around the world.To do this, nothing better than to show the strength of the Franco-German couple at a luncheon on Friday at the Elysee, bringing together around the president, the French finance minister and Baroin his German counterpart Wolfgang Schäuble.

"We have made good progress on the path to find how to package a comprehensive and lasting agreement," said the French way out. For Baroin, progress has been made "on the joint bank recapitalization," he may say no more.According to European sources cited by Bloomberg, the euro area is working on the assumption of a default of 50% of Greek debt and would have identified seven options to boost the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), from the processing bank the simple assurance of securities issued by the countries most vulnerable.

Individual Solutions

Paradoxically, this sacred union between France and Germany is no longer visible in the markets bad credit personal loan lenders. Yesterday, the spread between ten-year French and German was 93 basis points, to the detriment of the former. Never since the creation of the euro area, France has borrowed as much from Germany even though the absolute rates at ten years French remain historically low.In the eyes of financial markets, it shows the weakness of leeway in Paris, to boost the EFSF or possibly refinance its banks.

The other cause of tension that the French Presidency is to avoid global order. At their working dinner last night, finance ministers from the G20 should discuss ways "to ensure global growth strong, sustainable and balanced", as agreed for three years. But unlike previous summits, where everyone was asked to revive its economy, the solutions will be this time individual. "At Cannes, each country will come with two or three steps to support its economy depend on the fiscal space of each other," says Bercy. What display a facade of unity.

However, the Twenty will not avoid the reasons for tension.The heaviest between China to the United States, since the passage by Congress in Washington, a bill denouncing the undervaluation of the yuan. The newest arrived yesterday: the emerging propose strengthening of $ 350 billion financial capacity of the IMF for help, among other things, to finance Europe. A proposal that has received a plea of ​​receiving U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, for whom the IMF has "largely sufficient resources to deal with the crisis."

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The technology featured in Wall Street

Thursday, October 6th, 2011

Anticipate a future opening up slightly from the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday. Wall Street and should build on the previous day, still driven by hopes of a coordinated European bank recapitalization.

After weeks of dithering, European leaders have taken in hand to avoid a collapse of the banking sector, weakened by the debt crisis, which brought down the French-Belgian group Dexia. The markets were also reassured by the publication of macroeconomic indicators in the U.S. exceeded expectations: job creation in the private sector and the ISM services.

Caution before the employment figures

Investors in Europe and the United States should however be cautious before several major macroeconomic deadlines. On Thursday, he watched the decision of the European Central Bank (ECB) on interest rates.The ECB raised its key rate twice this year for fear of inflation, this time could announce a reduction to support the economy in crisis in the euro area.

Investor caution should also be strengthened by the expectation of official figures of employment for the month of September in the United States to be published Friday. Until today, investors will learn the weekly jobless claims.

Meanwhile, the foreign exchange market, the euro reached 1.3331 dollars. A barrel of crude is trading at 102.38 dollars for Brent North Sea and 79.50 dollars for U.S. crude.The ounce of gold is trading in 1644 dollars payday loan.

Investors will have their eyes on Apple and Yahoo

As for values, investors will have their eyes on the technology sector.

• Apple should be particularly observed after the announcement of the demise of the group's founder Steve Jobs.

• Yahoo is the subject of new rumors of a possible bid from U.S. computer giant Microsoft, which had tried to capture in 2008 of U.S. internet group.

• Hewlett-Packard should not make further major acquisitions in the software after the acquisition of Autonomy, according to statement from the group's new boss Meg Whitman, quoted by Reuters.

• Boeing received an order for $ 1.1 billion from Ethiopian Airlines for four Boeing 777 freighters.

• Gilead Sciences has granted a license agreement Boehringer Ingelheim for the exclusive rights to research, development and commercialization of an anti-integrase for the treatment of HIV.

• Marriott International has released the third quarter, earnings per share of $ 0.29, up 32% year on year. Turnover was 2.9 billion dollars against 2.6 billion last year. The revenue per available room key indicator in the hotel sector grew by 8.7% on a comparable basis, while prices rose by 5.3%.

Also note Peabody Energy and ArcelorMittal will extend their bid for Macarthur Coal until October 28.

Accommodation: aid refocused

Wednesday, September 14th, 2011

In full preparation of the Finance Act 2012, the government wants to reform the system help to improve the energy quality of housing. The daily Les Echos, the measures will be refocused to encourage the most effective work.

The reform provides for the extension of the tax credit for sustainable development – given to households who install a heat pump or insulate their roof … – Until 31 December 2015. The credit will be enhanced even when the fireplace combine the installation of multiple devices. The Department of Ecology has also provided several scenarios in which the tax benefit may be increased to 50% instead of 13% to 45% today awarded based on the equipment installed.For roof insulation, for example, the owner will add those walls and piping fast cash advance loan.

The return of accumulated tax credit – eco-PTZ

Canceled earlier this year, the cumulative tax credit and an eco-interest loan will become possible, under certain conditions. The government plans an income ceiling set at 30,000 euros annually. In addition, households will still opt for the tax credit or the interest-free loan. The repayment period of the latter will also be extended to 15 years instead of 10 now.

In against part of the aid extended, the government will however reduce the benefits to other work. The list of eligible acts will be tightened, and a movement of the plane of 10% will be applied to the current subsidy rate.