November 30th, 2011

Caution should dominate this last session of November in the Paris Bourse. The futures on the CAC 40 was down over 1% one hour before the opening, leaving a consider early in the day in negative territory.

Operators should not be inspired by the close-hearted Wall Street yesterday, nor one in the red, the Asian market this morning guaranteed online payday loans. They should also take time to digest the advertisements of the leading finance ministers of the euro zone, Jean-Claude Juncker, made in Tuesday night. The latter has warned that the Financial Assistance Fund (EFSF) would reach "probably not" the one trillion euros, as had been promised after the crisis summit last October.

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November 28th, 2011

Pébereau has resisted the stock market battles, crises and even big night bank. But a simple date in a calendar, and he is defeated. Thursday 1 December, the most influential banker in France or Europe, will no longer be president of BNP Paribas, the old lady he was winded in eighteen years the first French bank. At 69, the inspector of finance promotion Marcel Proust was found by time. No matter. A few days before his abdication, he remains the first line on the front of the euro. One day, debating on a television with Jose Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission. Another received at Downing Street by David Cameron, the British prime minister. There's a fire in the house and the euro Financial has an address book to make the government gives tirelessly envious of the voice. That of BNP Paribas. That of France.

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November 26th, 2011

Italy paid dearly Friday the stalemate of the crisis in the eurozone borrowing rates that have soared to record levels in a debt issue, following a mini-summit between Berlin, Paris and Rome, which has disappointed the markets.

Italian bond yields to six months jumped to 6.504% against 3.535% in a similar operation on October 26 while rates at two years have soared to 7.814% against 4.628%, unheard of since the creation of the euro area. These levels are considered unsustainable over time to the peninsula awash in a huge debt representing approximately 120% of its GDP.

The Treasury, however, managed to raise as planned EUR 10 billion with a demand remains strong make quick cash.

At the head of the country for less than two weeks, Mario Monti said on Thursday during a mini-summit in Strasbourg to the French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, that Italy would "do its homework "and take the objective of a balanced budget in 2013. A goal that will require the rapid adoption of new austerity measures.

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The draconian austerity plans adopted in July and September will indeed not sufficient when the latest statistics (consumption, industrial production) fuel fears of a recession into the third largest economy in the euro area.

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November 24th, 2011

The concern is still apparent at the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. The CAC 40 ceded 0.72% in early trade at 2850.85 points. Unable to maintain its rebound yesterday, the CAC 40 would be difficult to bounce back following the announcement of a further slowdown in the Chinese economy. Preliminary PMI Manufacturing activity in China, issued by HSBC this morning, recorded in November, its biggest drop since March 2009, to 48 against 51 in October. Below 50, this means a contraction.

The country's dependence on exports is the main cause of this fall, analysts said the bank. China is beginning to feel the impact of the economic downturn of its main European and U.S. clients. To this end, HSBC is lowering the forecast industrial production to 11% or 12% year on year in the months to come (against 13 no fax payday loans.2% in October).The growth of the second world economy is showing disturbing signs of slowing: GDP rose 9.1% in the third quarter against 10.4% in late 2010.

The news depressed Asian investors this morning. These were already suffering from the downward revision of U.S. growth in the third quarter. Wall Street had also cashed a new bearish session yesterday.

Meeting the agenda of the euro area

This accumulation of bad news in addition to the always present fear about sovereign debt problems. France and Germany announced their wish to present proposals on reforming the EU treaties. "With Angela Merkel we will soon make proposals with regard to the Treaty amendment to prevent that countries can differ in the fiscal, economic and tax," said Nicolas Sarkozy.

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November 22nd, 2011

A few months before the presidential election, the 35 hours are back in the debate. The UMP should provide, at its convention started on Tuesday, returning to the reduction of working time negotiated by Martine Aubry in 2000. According to the Minister for Ecology, Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, the majority party would provide an opportunity for partners to open branch agreements on the subject. Objective: To renegotiate the legal working time by sector. "There are industries in which the 35-hour sustained pose problems, despite the flexibility we have made, [...] areas where it is more complicated than others, where the division of labor is much less homogeneous in others, "said the minister this morning on LCI.

The method, a general law on working time does not seem to agenda.The Secretary General of the UMP, Jean-Francois Cope, has thus also opposed, on Tuesday in La Voix du Nord, "an arbitrary law" on the back 35 hours. "The issue of working time should not be a taboo [...] but do not do anything. Working time should be determined by industry or company, with the social partners. We do not work the same way in construction, food processing, nuclear power, "he said. A position consistent with the wishes of the MEDEF. The employers' association had called in January the government to "trust the social partners". "The concept of a legal term that would be the same for everyone and all the time is obsolete."

"The release of 35 hours is inevitable"

The goal, however, is clear. For the majority party, back in one way or another about 35 hours is a must.

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November 16th, 2011

Above all, he pretended to ask: "Imports do they contribute to the financing of our social model?" A new reference to the social VAT. On October 27, on television, already, the President had made it clear that this tax may be included in his campaign program … if it were to be a candidate to succeed himself.

The idea is to partially fund the social security system with a consumption tax us fast cash. In return, the employer contributions would be reduced, to reduce labor costs. The scenario, long taboo in 2007 as mentioned awkwardly between the two rounds of parliamentary by Borloo, brings together more and more supporters to the right and center, but not unanimous. The reluctance address the risk of inflation, so drop in purchasing power.

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November 12th, 2011

At a silver lining. The great blunder of the rating agency S & P issued Thursday to its subscribers in error message suggesting that the note of France was degraded allowed to know the exact impact would have been the suppression agencies rating of the famous "AAA" from France. This information has been totally denied by the U.S. agency Standard & Poor's and the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) has launched an investigation, but the damage was done.

As such, it must be remembered that the S & P is not his first "mistake". In early August, when the deterioration in the rating of the United States, the agency had already deceived 2,000 billion in the calculation of the federal debt.

This lack of reliability of the agency does not affect the market reaction.Thursday, shortly after the dissemination of this false information to 3:57 p.m., the French rate on loans to ten years amounted to 3.46%, bringing the pay gap with German bonds of similar duration to a record 166 points percentage not seen since the creation of the euro.

Everyone to understand that France will soon be degraded

This Friday, at the opening transaction, rates eased around 3.36%, but markets have learned their lesson. In exchange, everyone understood that in case of deterioration in the rating of France, synonymous with loss of the "triple A", the rates of government bonds with ten years showed 3.46%, or 3 , 5%. This would mean that in this case, France would borrow twice from Germany!

The shock is harsh, but it is ultimately not so dramatic as that. A 3.46 or 3.5% borrowing conditions in France remain reasonable.

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TF1 stock market plunges after disappointing results

November 11th, 2011

The effect of the crisis was immediate for the television market and particularly for TF1. The first French commercial channel just announced for the first nine months of the year, a decline of 1.6% of its advertising revenue to 1.054 billion euros. The decline is even more pronounced for the third quarter, which ends, as advertising revenue in the chain were down 3.2% to 296.6 million compared to last year at this time.

An equation that TF1 attributed to "a macroeconomic environment less favorable than expected, especially from September." This "economic uncertainty", leads the group also anticipated for the year 2011 "a withdrawal of consolidated turnover of about 1%."

However, if the proceeds of the TF1 channel degrades, the group announced a turnover in nine months, up 0.7% to 1.826 billion euros.

November 6th, 2011

(From our special correspondent in Athens)

Ten days after a summit of the European Union has offered a new and generous aid package (130 billion of soft loans and additional deletion of 50% of its bank debt), Greece has still failed to respond positively to its European partners. The ongoing political chicanery in Athens are now exasperated the northern Europeans. Former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder has just said out loud what they think almost all of his compatriots: "Greece should never have been back in the euro area! ".

Four days after returning from Brussels summit, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou announced unexpectedly that he would submit to a referendum history of the Europe Agreement on October 27.In his speech before the vote, Prime Minister pledged to work towards forming a national unity government, which would then be able to obtain approval from the European level by a qualified majority of the Greek Parliament.

Saturday at midday, Papandreou has therefore gone to the President of the Hellenic Republic (with powers more symbolic than real, like the presidents German or Italian), asking him to convene the party leaders in for the formation of a grand coalition. But Antonis Samaras, the leader of opposition party New Democracy (center right) then stated publicly that he demanded the resignation prior Papandreou, in his eyes too discredited claim to form such a government of national unity.

November 3rd, 2011

● Restoring growth

● Reform the international monetary system

● Fighting against the volatility of agricultural commodities

● Regulate Financial Markets

● Financing for Development Assistance

● Reforming global governance

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